Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) confirm Munich's highest temperature on April 29 reached 18°C at the city-center station (München-Stadt), with the airport (Flughafen) recording 17.7°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% market-implied probability. Clear skies, light northerly winds around 15 km/h, and low humidity (29-34%) capped daytime heating after a cool start near 8-9°C, matching pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and ICON models projecting 17-19°C amid typical late-April climatology (historical April highs average 13-15°C). This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves negligible room for alternatives, though rare data revisions from secondary stations or instrument adjustments could theoretically challenge it before final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Munich on April 29?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 29?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$78,890 交易量
$78,890 交易量
2026-04-29
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$78,890 交易量
$78,890 交易量
2026-04-29
10°C or below
$2,164 交易量
No
11°C
$1,236 交易量
No
12°C
$1,149 交易量
No
13°C
$2,774 交易量
No
14°C
$2,267 交易量
No
15°C
$2,835 交易量
No
16°C
$8,779 交易量
No
17°C
$19,940 交易量
No
18°C
$12,443 交易量
Yes
19°C
$15,357 交易量
No
20°C or higher
$9,946 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) confirm Munich's highest temperature on April 29 reached 18°C at the city-center station (München-Stadt), with the airport (Flughafen) recording 17.7°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% market-implied probability. Clear skies, light northerly winds around 15 km/h, and low humidity (29-34%) capped daytime heating after a cool start near 8-9°C, matching pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and ICON models projecting 17-19°C amid typical late-April climatology (historical April highs average 13-15°C). This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves negligible room for alternatives, though rare data revisions from secondary stations or instrument adjustments could theoretically challenge it before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$78,890结束日期
2026-04-29市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) confirm Munich's highest temperature on April 29 reached 18°C at the city-center station (München-Stadt), with the airport (Flughafen) recording 17.7°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% market-implied probability. Clear skies, light northerly winds around 15 km/h, and low humidity (29-34%) capped daytime heating after a cool start near 8-9°C, matching pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and ICON models projecting 17-19°C amid typical late-April climatology (historical April highs average 13-15°C). This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves negligible room for alternatives, though rare data revisions from secondary stations or instrument adjustments could theoretically challenge it before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$78,890结束日期
2026-04-29市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) confirm Munich's highest temperature on April 29 reached 18°C at the city-center station (München-Stadt), with the airport (Flughafen) recording 17.7°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% market-implied probability. Clear skies, light northerly winds around 15 km/h, and low humidity (29-34%) capped daytime heating after a cool start near 8-9°C, matching pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and ICON models projecting 17-19°C amid typical late-April climatology (historical April highs average 13-15°C). This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves negligible room for alternatives, though rare data revisions from secondary stations or instrument adjustments could theoretically challenge it before final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题