Traders assign the highest implied probability (36.5%) to a 31°C maximum on July 8, followed closely by 30°C at 27.5%, reflecting uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions. Recent Meteorological Service Singapore updates note below-average rainfall and above-average temperatures through August, driven by possible El Niño influences that suppress cloud cover and enhance daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the timing and extent of localized afternoon thundery showers, southeast-to-southwest wind patterns, and boundary-layer humidity, which can cap or permit brief spikes near the seasonal 31.4°C July average. Model consensus points to highs of 29–32°C, with resolution hinging on observational data from official stations as the date nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡7月8日的最高温度？
新加坡7月8日的最高温度？
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$120,709 交易量
$120,709 交易量
2026-07-08
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$120,709 交易量
$120,709 交易量
2026-07-08
26°C or below
$1,741 交易量
No
27°C
$2,854 交易量
No
28°C
$4,616 交易量
No
29°C
$16,362 交易量
No
30°C
$18,911 交易量
No
31°C
$27,399 交易量
Yes
32°C
$24,032 交易量
No
33°C
$12,138 交易量
No
34°C
$6,293 交易量
No
35°C
$3,880 交易量
No
36°C or higher
$2,485 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability (36.5%) to a 31°C maximum on July 8, followed closely by 30°C at 27.5%, reflecting uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions. Recent Meteorological Service Singapore updates note below-average rainfall and above-average temperatures through August, driven by possible El Niño influences that suppress cloud cover and enhance daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the timing and extent of localized afternoon thundery showers, southeast-to-southwest wind patterns, and boundary-layer humidity, which can cap or permit brief spikes near the seasonal 31.4°C July average. Model consensus points to highs of 29–32°C, with resolution hinging on observational data from official stations as the date nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$120,709结束日期
2026-07-08市场开放时间
Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability (36.5%) to a 31°C maximum on July 8, followed closely by 30°C at 27.5%, reflecting uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions. Recent Meteorological Service Singapore updates note below-average rainfall and above-average temperatures through August, driven by possible El Niño influences that suppress cloud cover and enhance daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the timing and extent of localized afternoon thundery showers, southeast-to-southwest wind patterns, and boundary-layer humidity, which can cap or permit brief spikes near the seasonal 31.4°C July average. Model consensus points to highs of 29–32°C, with resolution hinging on observational data from official stations as the date nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$120,709结束日期
2026-07-08市场开放时间
Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Traders assign the highest implied probability (36.5%) to a 31°C maximum on July 8, followed closely by 30°C at 27.5%, reflecting uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions. Recent Meteorological Service Singapore updates note below-average rainfall and above-average temperatures through August, driven by possible El Niño influences that suppress cloud cover and enhance daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the timing and extent of localized afternoon thundery showers, southeast-to-southwest wind patterns, and boundary-layer humidity, which can cap or permit brief spikes near the seasonal 31.4°C July average. Model consensus points to highs of 29–32°C, with resolution hinging on observational data from official stations as the date nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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