Recent forecasts from major models and agencies, including the Met Office and BBC, point to a maximum of 35–36°C in Madrid on August 5 under sunny, light southwesterly flow. The near-even split between these two outcomes reflects typical ensemble spread in 48-hour predictions, where small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, and exact wind speeds can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August climatology shows highs averaging near 33°C, but current high-pressure ridging supports the warmer solution. Updated model runs and official AEMET briefings expected in the next 24 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日马德里气温最高？
8月5日马德里气温最高？
36°C 49%
35°C 43%
37°C 7%
34°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
31°C or below
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
6%
35°C
43%
36°C
49%
37°C
7%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 49%
35°C 43%
37°C 7%
34°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
31°C or below
$0 交易量
2%
32°C
$10 交易量
2%
33°C
$21 交易量
5%
34°C
$23 交易量
6%
35°C
$59 交易量
43%
36°C
$145 交易量
49%
37°C
$26 交易量
7%
38°C
$18 交易量
3%
39°C
$0 交易量
2%
40°C
$17 交易量
1%
41°C or higher
$17 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models and agencies, including the Met Office and BBC, point to a maximum of 35–36°C in Madrid on August 5 under sunny, light southwesterly flow. The near-even split between these two outcomes reflects typical ensemble spread in 48-hour predictions, where small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, and exact wind speeds can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August climatology shows highs averaging near 33°C, but current high-pressure ridging supports the warmer solution. Updated model runs and official AEMET briefings expected in the next 24 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$234结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models and agencies, including the Met Office and BBC, point to a maximum of 35–36°C in Madrid on August 5 under sunny, light southwesterly flow. The near-even split between these two outcomes reflects typical ensemble spread in 48-hour predictions, where small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, and exact wind speeds can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August climatology shows highs averaging near 33°C, but current high-pressure ridging supports the warmer solution. Updated model runs and official AEMET briefings expected in the next 24 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$234结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent forecasts from major models and agencies, including the Met Office and BBC, point to a maximum of 35–36°C in Madrid on August 5 under sunny, light southwesterly flow. The near-even split between these two outcomes reflects typical ensemble spread in 48-hour predictions, where small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, and exact wind speeds can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August climatology shows highs averaging near 33°C, but current high-pressure ridging supports the warmer solution. Updated model runs and official AEMET briefings expected in the next 24 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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