Current forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug, WindBorne, and Israeli meteorological services, indicate a highest temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 25 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels near 55–65%. These conditions stem from stable high-pressure patterns over the eastern Mediterranean that limit both strong solar heating and significant cooling. Market-implied probabilities favor 33–34°C because traders incorporate model spread, potential urban heat-island effects at official stations, and the possibility of slightly clearer or calmer conditions boosting peak readings by 1–2°C above guidance. Historical climatology places late-August daily maxima near 30°C with low precipitation risk, supporting the current consensus while leaving modest room for upward revisions ahead of final model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日特拉维夫的最高温度?
33°C 55%
34°C 32%
32°C 12%
36°C 5%
29°C or below
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
12%
33°C
55%
34°C
32%
35°C
5%
36°C
5%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
2%
33°C 55%
34°C 32%
32°C 12%
36°C 5%
29°C or below
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
12%
33°C
55%
34°C
32%
35°C
5%
36°C
5%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple sources, including WeatherBug, WindBorne, and Israeli meteorological services, indicate a highest temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 25 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels near 55–65%. These conditions stem from stable high-pressure patterns over the eastern Mediterranean that limit both strong solar heating and significant cooling. Market-implied probabilities favor 33–34°C because traders incorporate model spread, potential urban heat-island effects at official stations, and the possibility of slightly clearer or calmer conditions boosting peak readings by 1–2°C above guidance. Historical climatology places late-August daily maxima near 30°C with low precipitation risk, supporting the current consensus while leaving modest room for upward revisions ahead of final model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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