Latest forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather project Tel Aviv overnight lows near 25°C on August 25 under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. This consensus supports the closely matched market-implied odds near 26% for 23–25°C outcomes, while traders weigh the 48.5% chance of 18°C or below against potential model revisions from subtle shifts in sea-breeze strength or urban heat retention. Historical August minimums average 24–26°C with low variability, though brief cloud increases or wind changes could nudge readings by 1–2°C. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and NOAA global ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will clarify resolution risk around these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日特拉维夫最低气温?
18°C or below 97%
28°C or higher 97%
19°C 49%
23°C 27%
18°C or below
97%
19°C
49%
20°C
25%
21°C
25%
22°C
25%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
5%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
97%
18°C or below 97%
28°C or higher 97%
19°C 49%
23°C 27%
18°C or below
97%
19°C
49%
20°C
25%
21°C
25%
22°C
25%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
5%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather project Tel Aviv overnight lows near 25°C on August 25 under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. This consensus supports the closely matched market-implied odds near 26% for 23–25°C outcomes, while traders weigh the 48.5% chance of 18°C or below against potential model revisions from subtle shifts in sea-breeze strength or urban heat retention. Historical August minimums average 24–26°C with low variability, though brief cloud increases or wind changes could nudge readings by 1–2°C. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and NOAA global ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will clarify resolution risk around these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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