Following Israel's limited airstrike on an Iranian air defense facility near Isfahan on April 19—retaliation for Tehran's April 13 drone and missile barrage—both sides have pursued de-escalation amid U.S. diplomatic pressure and mutual signals of restraint from Prime Minister Netanyahu and Iranian officials. No verified reports of strikes on Iranian power plants have emerged since, with trader consensus reflecting the absence of new provocations, intelligence leaks, or escalation triggers specific to energy infrastructure like Bushehr. Ongoing Gaza operations and nuclear talks divert focus, lowering implied odds of action by April 30, though sudden retaliatory rhetoric or covert operations could shift sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against any power plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following Israel's limited airstrike on an Iranian air defense facility near Isfahan on April 19—retaliation for Tehran's April 13 drone and missile barrage—both sides have pursued de-escalation amid U.S. diplomatic pressure and mutual signals of restraint from Prime Minister Netanyahu and Iranian officials. No verified reports of strikes on Iranian power plants have emerged since, with trader consensus reflecting the absence of new provocations, intelligence leaks, or escalation triggers specific to energy infrastructure like Bushehr. Ongoing Gaza operations and nuclear talks divert focus, lowering implied odds of action by April 30, though sudden retaliatory rhetoric or covert operations could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against any power plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
交易量
$1,194结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against any power plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following Israel's limited airstrike on an Iranian air defense facility near Isfahan on April 19—retaliation for Tehran's April 13 drone and missile barrage—both sides have pursued de-escalation amid U.S. diplomatic pressure and mutual signals of restraint from Prime Minister Netanyahu and Iranian officials. No verified reports of strikes on Iranian power plants have emerged since, with trader consensus reflecting the absence of new provocations, intelligence leaks, or escalation triggers specific to energy infrastructure like Bushehr. Ongoing Gaza operations and nuclear talks divert focus, lowering implied odds of action by April 30, though sudden retaliatory rhetoric or covert operations could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against any power plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,194结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following Israel's limited airstrike on an Iranian air defense facility near Isfahan on April 19—retaliation for Tehran's April 13 drone and missile barrage—both sides have pursued de-escalation amid U.S. diplomatic pressure and mutual signals of restraint from Prime Minister Netanyahu and Iranian officials. No verified reports of strikes on Iranian power plants have emerged since, with trader consensus reflecting the absence of new provocations, intelligence leaks, or escalation triggers specific to energy infrastructure like Bushehr. Ongoing Gaza operations and nuclear talks divert focus, lowering implied odds of action by April 30, though sudden retaliatory rhetoric or covert operations could shift sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题