Trader consensus tilts slightly toward "No" at 55.5% implied probability for Kanye West—now Ye—being blocked from entering another country by June 30, reflecting a closely contested market amid his escalating travel restrictions. The primary catalyst driving recent Yes momentum is the UK Home Office's April 7 announcement barring Ye from entering Britain to headline the Wireless Festival in July, citing his history of antisemitic remarks, including the May 2025 release of "Heil Hitler" and swastika merchandise, which prompted the event's outright cancellation. This follows Australia's 2025 visa revocation over the same track, building on prior scrutiny. However, with no confirmed international travel attempts or new provocations in the past week, traders weigh low near-term escalation risks before the deadline, though upcoming tour plans or statements could swing odds decisively.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-06-30
最新
最新
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus tilts slightly toward "No" at 55.5% implied probability for Kanye West—now Ye—being blocked from entering another country by June 30, reflecting a closely contested market amid his escalating travel restrictions. The primary catalyst driving recent Yes momentum is the UK Home Office's April 7 announcement barring Ye from entering Britain to headline the Wireless Festival in July, citing his history of antisemitic remarks, including the May 2025 release of "Heil Hitler" and swastika merchandise, which prompted the event's outright cancellation. This follows Australia's 2025 visa revocation over the same track, building on prior scrutiny. However, with no confirmed international travel attempts or new provocations in the past week, traders weigh low near-term escalation risks before the deadline, though upcoming tour plans or statements could swing odds decisively.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
交易量
$82结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus tilts slightly toward "No" at 55.5% implied probability for Kanye West—now Ye—being blocked from entering another country by June 30, reflecting a closely contested market amid his escalating travel restrictions. The primary catalyst driving recent Yes momentum is the UK Home Office's April 7 announcement barring Ye from entering Britain to headline the Wireless Festival in July, citing his history of antisemitic remarks, including the May 2025 release of "Heil Hitler" and swastika merchandise, which prompted the event's outright cancellation. This follows Australia's 2025 visa revocation over the same track, building on prior scrutiny. However, with no confirmed international travel attempts or new provocations in the past week, traders weigh low near-term escalation risks before the deadline, though upcoming tour plans or statements could swing odds decisively.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$82结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus tilts slightly toward "No" at 55.5% implied probability for Kanye West—now Ye—being blocked from entering another country by June 30, reflecting a closely contested market amid his escalating travel restrictions. The primary catalyst driving recent Yes momentum is the UK Home Office's April 7 announcement barring Ye from entering Britain to headline the Wireless Festival in July, citing his history of antisemitic remarks, including the May 2025 release of "Heil Hitler" and swastika merchandise, which prompted the event's outright cancellation. This follows Australia's 2025 visa revocation over the same track, building on prior scrutiny. However, with no confirmed international travel attempts or new provocations in the past week, traders weigh low near-term escalation risks before the deadline, though upcoming tour plans or statements could swing odds decisively.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题