Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and KMA indicate Busan overnight lows around 24–27°C on August 25 amid persistent warm, humid air masses and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. High humidity near 75–85% reduces radiative heat loss, while the coastal location and urban heat island effect anchor minimums well above historical averages near 24°C but below peak summer extremes. Clear skies may allow modest drops, yet steering patterns and sea surface temperatures near 28°C support the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 25°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日釜山气温最低?
30°C or higher 97%
20°C or below 96%
21°C 81%
25°C 46%
20°C or below
96%
21°C
81%
22°C
24%
23°C
41%
24°C
41%
25°C
46%
26°C
46%
27°C
43%
28°C
41%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
97%
30°C or higher 97%
20°C or below 96%
21°C 81%
25°C 46%
20°C or below
96%
21°C
81%
22°C
24%
23°C
41%
24°C
41%
25°C
46%
26°C
46%
27°C
43%
28°C
41%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and KMA indicate Busan overnight lows around 24–27°C on August 25 amid persistent warm, humid air masses and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. High humidity near 75–85% reduces radiative heat loss, while the coastal location and urban heat island effect anchor minimums well above historical averages near 24°C but below peak summer extremes. Clear skies may allow modest drops, yet steering patterns and sea surface temperatures near 28°C support the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 25°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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