**Incoming cold air advection combined with widespread rain and cloud cover is the dominant driver compressing market-implied odds for Chengdu’s September 9 overnight low into a tight cluster around 18–21 °C.** Persistent northeasterly flow and high humidity from the frontal system limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while model consensus from sources such as the Met Office, AccuWeather, and local Sichuan forecasts points to a minimum near 18–19 °C amid moderate-to-heavy precipitation. Slight differences in timing of heaviest rain, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds create the narrow spread reflected in the nearly equal probabilities for 18 °C through 21 °C. Historical September climatology shows typical lows near 20 °C, but the current synoptic setup favors values on the cooler side of that baseline. Updated model runs and observational data expected overnight will likely refine the final resolution range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日成都最低气温？
9月9日成都最低气温？
21°C 27%
19°C 27%
20°C 27%
18°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
16°C或以下
2%
17°C
9%
18°C
26%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C或以上
1%
21°C 27%
19°C 27%
20°C 27%
18°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
16°C或以下
$25 交易量
2%
17°C
$37 交易量
9%
18°C
$0 交易量
26%
19°C
$0 交易量
27%
20°C
$0 交易量
27%
21°C
$0 交易量
27%
22°C
$0 交易量
26%
23°C
$0 交易量
26%
24°C
$25 交易量
5%
25°C
$150 交易量
1%
26°C或以上
$80 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Incoming cold air advection combined with widespread rain and cloud cover is the dominant driver compressing market-implied odds for Chengdu’s September 9 overnight low into a tight cluster around 18–21 °C.**
Persistent northeasterly flow and high humidity from the frontal system limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while model consensus from sources such as the Met Office, AccuWeather, and local Sichuan forecasts points to a minimum near 18–19 °C amid moderate-to-heavy precipitation. Slight differences in timing of heaviest rain, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds create the narrow spread reflected in the nearly equal probabilities for 18 °C through 21 °C. Historical September climatology shows typical lows near 20 °C, but the current synoptic setup favors values on the cooler side of that baseline. Updated model runs and observational data expected overnight will likely refine the final resolution range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$315结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Incoming cold air advection combined with widespread rain and cloud cover is the dominant driver compressing market-implied odds for Chengdu’s September 9 overnight low into a tight cluster around 18–21 °C.**
Persistent northeasterly flow and high humidity from the frontal system limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while model consensus from sources such as the Met Office, AccuWeather, and local Sichuan forecasts points to a minimum near 18–19 °C amid moderate-to-heavy precipitation. Slight differences in timing of heaviest rain, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds create the narrow spread reflected in the nearly equal probabilities for 18 °C through 21 °C. Historical September climatology shows typical lows near 20 °C, but the current synoptic setup favors values on the cooler side of that baseline. Updated model runs and observational data expected overnight will likely refine the final resolution range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$315结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Incoming cold air advection combined with widespread rain and cloud cover is the dominant driver compressing market-implied odds for Chengdu’s September 9 overnight low into a tight cluster around 18–21 °C.** Persistent northeasterly flow and high humidity from the frontal system limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while model consensus from sources such as the Met Office, AccuWeather, and local Sichuan forecasts points to a minimum near 18–19 °C amid moderate-to-heavy precipitation. Slight differences in timing of heaviest rain, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds create the narrow spread reflected in the nearly equal probabilities for 18 °C through 21 °C. Historical September climatology shows typical lows near 20 °C, but the current synoptic setup favors values on the cooler side of that baseline. Updated model runs and observational data expected overnight will likely refine the final resolution range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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