Forecast models from multiple agencies converge on a peak temperature of 32°C for Munich on September 8, 2026, under a stable high-pressure regime delivering mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover through the afternoon. Observational data through midday already show readings climbing toward 31°C with continued warming expected before evening cooling begins. This aligns with the market-implied odds of 98% for exactly 32°C as the daily high. A realistic shift away from this outcome would require rapid development of unexpected convective clouds or an earlier influx of cooler maritime air, both of which current short-range guidance assigns low probability. Historical September maxima for the date rarely exceed 30°C, underscoring how anomalous the present warmth is.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日慕尼黑气温最高？
9月8日慕尼黑气温最高？
32°C 99.4%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
27°C或以下 <1%
$43,251 交易量
$43,251 交易量
2026-09-08
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
99%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
32°C 99.4%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
27°C或以下 <1%
$43,251 交易量
$43,251 交易量
2026-09-08
27°C或以下
$2,213 交易量
<1%
28°C
$481 交易量
<1%
29°C
$766 交易量
<1%
30°C
$4,059 交易量
<1%
31°C
$9,613 交易量
<1%
32°C
$8,341 交易量
99%
33°C
$10,414 交易量
<1%
34°C
$3,321 交易量
<1%
35°C
$768 交易量
<1%
36°C
$1,997 交易量
<1%
37°C或更高
$1,278 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple agencies converge on a peak temperature of 32°C for Munich on September 8, 2026, under a stable high-pressure regime delivering mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover through the afternoon. Observational data through midday already show readings climbing toward 31°C with continued warming expected before evening cooling begins. This aligns with the market-implied odds of 98% for exactly 32°C as the daily high. A realistic shift away from this outcome would require rapid development of unexpected convective clouds or an earlier influx of cooler maritime air, both of which current short-range guidance assigns low probability. Historical September maxima for the date rarely exceed 30°C, underscoring how anomalous the present warmth is.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$43,251结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple agencies converge on a peak temperature of 32°C for Munich on September 8, 2026, under a stable high-pressure regime delivering mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover through the afternoon. Observational data through midday already show readings climbing toward 31°C with continued warming expected before evening cooling begins. This aligns with the market-implied odds of 98% for exactly 32°C as the daily high. A realistic shift away from this outcome would require rapid development of unexpected convective clouds or an earlier influx of cooler maritime air, both of which current short-range guidance assigns low probability. Historical September maxima for the date rarely exceed 30°C, underscoring how anomalous the present warmth is.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$43,251结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models from multiple agencies converge on a peak temperature of 32°C for Munich on September 8, 2026, under a stable high-pressure regime delivering mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover through the afternoon. Observational data through midday already show readings climbing toward 31°C with continued warming expected before evening cooling begins. This aligns with the market-implied odds of 98% for exactly 32°C as the daily high. A realistic shift away from this outcome would require rapid development of unexpected convective clouds or an earlier influx of cooler maritime air, both of which current short-range guidance assigns low probability. Historical September maxima for the date rarely exceed 30°C, underscoring how anomalous the present warmth is.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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