**Current model consensus and long-term climatology strongly support overnight minimums in Munich on September 8 falling to 12°C or below.** Historical data from 1991–2020 place the average low at 11.1°C, with records showing frequent dips into single digits or low teens during early September. Recent numerical weather prediction runs indicate a transition to cooler air masses, with surface temperatures expected to reach their daily minimum during the pre-dawn hours under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with typical radiative cooling patterns at Munich’s elevation and latitude. While forecast uncertainty remains—particularly regarding exact timing of any passing fronts or localized Föhn effects that could briefly raise readings—the overwhelming weight of observational baselines and ensemble guidance leaves little room for the minimum to exceed 12°C. New model updates from agencies such as the German Weather Service will provide the next key check on this assessment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日慕尼黑最低气温?
12°C或以下 99.6%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
12°C或以下
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或更高
<1%
12°C或以下 99.6%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
12°C或以下
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current model consensus and long-term climatology strongly support overnight minimums in Munich on September 8 falling to 12°C or below.** Historical data from 1991–2020 place the average low at 11.1°C, with records showing frequent dips into single digits or low teens during early September. Recent numerical weather prediction runs indicate a transition to cooler air masses, with surface temperatures expected to reach their daily minimum during the pre-dawn hours under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with typical radiative cooling patterns at Munich’s elevation and latitude. While forecast uncertainty remains—particularly regarding exact timing of any passing fronts or localized Föhn effects that could briefly raise readings—the overwhelming weight of observational baselines and ensemble guidance leaves little room for the minimum to exceed 12°C. New model updates from agencies such as the German Weather Service will provide the next key check on this assessment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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