Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–21°C for Istanbul on September 7, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling overnight under high pressure. This setup aligns with early-September climatology but features modest model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression that keeps implied probabilities clustered tightly between 18–22°C. Traders weigh the latest GFS and ECMWF runs against historical analogs showing typical lows near 17°C, with resolution hinging on precise 00–06 UTC observations. Fresh model guidance tonight could shift sentiment ahead of the market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月7日伊斯坦布尔的最低温度？
9月7日伊斯坦布尔的最低温度？
14°C或以下 90%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
14°C或以下
90%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
30%
21°C
29%
22°C
27%
23°C
50%
24°C或更高
45%
14°C或以下 90%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
90%
15°C
$0 交易量
50%
16°C
$0 交易量
50%
17°C
$0 交易量
50%
18°C
$0 交易量
50%
19°C
$0 交易量
50%
20°C
$0 交易量
30%
21°C
$0 交易量
29%
22°C
$0 交易量
27%
23°C
$0 交易量
50%
24°C或更高
$0 交易量
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–21°C for Istanbul on September 7, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling overnight under high pressure. This setup aligns with early-September climatology but features modest model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression that keeps implied probabilities clustered tightly between 18–22°C. Traders weigh the latest GFS and ECMWF runs against historical analogs showing typical lows near 17°C, with resolution hinging on precise 00–06 UTC observations. Fresh model guidance tonight could shift sentiment ahead of the market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–21°C for Istanbul on September 7, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling overnight under high pressure. This setup aligns with early-September climatology but features modest model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression that keeps implied probabilities clustered tightly between 18–22°C. Traders weigh the latest GFS and ECMWF runs against historical analogs showing typical lows near 17°C, with resolution hinging on precise 00–06 UTC observations. Fresh model guidance tonight could shift sentiment ahead of the market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–21°C for Istanbul on September 7, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling overnight under high pressure. This setup aligns with early-September climatology but features modest model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression that keeps implied probabilities clustered tightly between 18–22°C. Traders weigh the latest GFS and ECMWF runs against historical analogs showing typical lows near 17°C, with resolution hinging on precise 00–06 UTC observations. Fresh model guidance tonight could shift sentiment ahead of the market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题