Active monsoon conditions, including a persistent low-pressure area and cyclonic circulation over southwest Uttar Pradesh, are driving trader sentiment for Lucknow’s September 8 minimum temperature. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models like GFS indicate 65–80% chances of thunderstorms and heavy rain that day, with high humidity (near 90% at night) and light variable winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup typically keeps overnight lows in the 25–27°C range, consistent with September climatology of roughly 24–26°C minima, though cloud cover and moisture introduce uncertainty in exact readings. The closely matched market-implied odds across bins (including extremes) reflect model divergence on precise steering and rainfall timing ahead of the next IMD update.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日勒克瑙的最低温度?
26°C 50%
22°C 49%
25°C 49%
28°C 49%
20°C或以下
33%
21°C
10%
22°C
49%
23°C
47%
24°C
47%
25°C
49%
26°C
50%
27°C
47%
28°C
49%
29°C
12%
30°C或更高
34%
26°C 50%
22°C 49%
25°C 49%
28°C 49%
20°C或以下
33%
21°C
10%
22°C
49%
23°C
47%
24°C
47%
25°C
49%
26°C
50%
27°C
47%
28°C
49%
29°C
12%
30°C或更高
34%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Active monsoon conditions, including a persistent low-pressure area and cyclonic circulation over southwest Uttar Pradesh, are driving trader sentiment for Lucknow’s September 8 minimum temperature. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models like GFS indicate 65–80% chances of thunderstorms and heavy rain that day, with high humidity (near 90% at night) and light variable winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup typically keeps overnight lows in the 25–27°C range, consistent with September climatology of roughly 24–26°C minima, though cloud cover and moisture introduce uncertainty in exact readings. The closely matched market-implied odds across bins (including extremes) reflect model divergence on precise steering and rainfall timing ahead of the next IMD update.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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