Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a low around 13–15°C for Toronto on August 24 amid persistent westerly flow and showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Cloud cover, gusty winds, and a cooler air mass advected from the northwest suppress temperatures relative to seasonal norms near 16°C, creating tight uncertainty between the 12°C and sub-12°C thresholds. Model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds around these levels. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely resolve the narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日多伦多最低气温？
8月24日多伦多最低气温？
9°C或以下 92%
10°C 49%
11°C 49%
12°C 44%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
9°C或以下
92%
10°C
49%
11°C
49%
12°C
44%
13°C
26%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
24%
18°C
24%
19°C或更高
2%
9°C或以下 92%
10°C 49%
11°C 49%
12°C 44%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
9°C或以下
$5 交易量
92%
10°C
$5 交易量
49%
11°C
$5 交易量
49%
12°C
$0 交易量
44%
13°C
$0 交易量
26%
14°C
$0 交易量
27%
15°C
$0 交易量
27%
16°C
$0 交易量
27%
17°C
$0 交易量
24%
18°C
$0 交易量
24%
19°C或更高
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a low around 13–15°C for Toronto on August 24 amid persistent westerly flow and showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Cloud cover, gusty winds, and a cooler air mass advected from the northwest suppress temperatures relative to seasonal norms near 16°C, creating tight uncertainty between the 12°C and sub-12°C thresholds. Model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds around these levels. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely resolve the narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a low around 13–15°C for Toronto on August 24 amid persistent westerly flow and showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Cloud cover, gusty winds, and a cooler air mass advected from the northwest suppress temperatures relative to seasonal norms near 16°C, creating tight uncertainty between the 12°C and sub-12°C thresholds. Model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds around these levels. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely resolve the narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETRecent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a low around 13–15°C for Toronto on August 24 amid persistent westerly flow and showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Cloud cover, gusty winds, and a cooler air mass advected from the northwest suppress temperatures relative to seasonal norms near 16°C, creating tight uncertainty between the 12°C and sub-12°C thresholds. Model runs show minor spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds around these levels. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely resolve the narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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