Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), the former Mato Grosso do Sul governor, holds the clearest edge for first place in the 2026 Senate race, backed by consistent polling leads of 38–64% in August surveys from institutes like Real Time Big Data and Ranking Brasil. His switch from PSDB to PL last year, combined with party infrastructure and alignment alongside Capitão Contar, has consolidated right-leaning support ahead of the October vote for the state's two seats. Recent candidate registration deadlines and early campaign activity have reinforced his frontrunner status, while trailing names such as Vander Loubet, Beto do Movimento, and others remain fragmented below 20% in the same surveys. Traders appear to price in his incumbency advantages and statewide visibility as the dominant factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于雷纳尔多·阿赞布贾 64%
Valderi Garcia 23%
贝托·杜·莫维门图 23%
卡皮唐·康塔 21%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
雷纳尔多·阿赞布贾
64%
Valderi Garcia
23%
贝托·杜·莫维门图
23%
卡皮唐·康塔
21%
范德·卢贝特
20%
丹尼尔·儒尼奥
18%
索拉娅
15%
罗伯托·大城
7%
瓦尔特·达·科马格兰
7%
Luiz Lemes
6%
雷纳尔多·阿赞布贾 64%
Valderi Garcia 23%
贝托·杜·莫维门图 23%
卡皮唐·康塔 21%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
雷纳尔多·阿赞布贾
$192 交易量
64%
Valderi Garcia
$21 交易量
23%
贝托·杜·莫维门图
$21 交易量
23%
卡皮唐·康塔
$21 交易量
21%
范德·卢贝特
$21 交易量
20%
丹尼尔·儒尼奥
$21 交易量
18%
索拉娅
$21 交易量
15%
罗伯托·大城
$92 交易量
7%
瓦尔特·达·科马格兰
$90 交易量
7%
Luiz Lemes
$42 交易量
6%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), the former Mato Grosso do Sul governor, holds the clearest edge for first place in the 2026 Senate race, backed by consistent polling leads of 38–64% in August surveys from institutes like Real Time Big Data and Ranking Brasil. His switch from PSDB to PL last year, combined with party infrastructure and alignment alongside Capitão Contar, has consolidated right-leaning support ahead of the October vote for the state's two seats. Recent candidate registration deadlines and early campaign activity have reinforced his frontrunner status, while trailing names such as Vander Loubet, Beto do Movimento, and others remain fragmented below 20% in the same surveys. Traders appear to price in his incumbency advantages and statewide visibility as the dominant factors.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$542结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), the former Mato Grosso do Sul governor, holds the clearest edge for first place in the 2026 Senate race, backed by consistent polling leads of 38–64% in August surveys from institutes like Real Time Big Data and Ranking Brasil. His switch from PSDB to PL last year, combined with party infrastructure and alignment alongside Capitão Contar, has consolidated right-leaning support ahead of the October vote for the state's two seats. Recent candidate registration deadlines and early campaign activity have reinforced his frontrunner status, while trailing names such as Vander Loubet, Beto do Movimento, and others remain fragmented below 20% in the same surveys. Traders appear to price in his incumbency advantages and statewide visibility as the dominant factors.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$542结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), the former Mato Grosso do Sul governor, holds the clearest edge for first place in the 2026 Senate race, backed by consistent polling leads of 38–64% in August surveys from institutes like Real Time Big Data and Ranking Brasil. His switch from PSDB to PL last year, combined with party infrastructure and alignment alongside Capitão Contar, has consolidated right-leaning support ahead of the October vote for the state's two seats. Recent candidate registration deadlines and early campaign activity have reinforced his frontrunner status, while trailing names such as Vander Loubet, Beto do Movimento, and others remain fragmented below 20% in the same surveys. Traders appear to price in his incumbency advantages and statewide visibility as the dominant factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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