The Mato Grosso Senate race for first place remains highly fragmented, with trader prices reflecting a broad field of viable contenders including Mauro Mendes, Janaína Riva, Carlos Fávaro, José Medeiros, and Pedro Taques. Recent June polling from Real Time Big Data highlighted Mendes and Riva leading early intentions, yet the overall distribution across multiple parties and independents has kept implied probabilities compressed near even levels. Primary drivers include the state's agricultural economy shaping candidate appeals, shifting alliances ahead of party conventions, and the two-seat structure diluting any single frontrunner. Late-campaign developments such as new surveys, formal endorsements, or coalition agreements could widen gaps by consolidating support among key voting blocs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于佩德罗·塔克斯 44%
达尔文上校 43%
法瓦罗 43%
加尔万 43%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
佩德罗·塔克斯
44%
达尔文上校
43%
法瓦罗
43%
加尔万
43%
何塞·梅德罗斯
43%
玛格丽特·布泽蒂
43%
毛罗·门德斯
43%
纳尔逊·费雷拉教授
43%
贝尼·戈多伊
42%
贾娜伊娜·里瓦
42%
佩德罗·塔克斯 44%
达尔文上校 43%
法瓦罗 43%
加尔万 43%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
佩德罗·塔克斯
$0 交易量
44%
达尔文上校
$0 交易量
43%
法瓦罗
$0 交易量
43%
加尔万
$0 交易量
43%
何塞·梅德罗斯
$0 交易量
43%
玛格丽特·布泽蒂
$0 交易量
43%
毛罗·门德斯
$0 交易量
43%
纳尔逊·费雷拉教授
$0 交易量
43%
贝尼·戈多伊
$0 交易量
42%
贾娜伊娜·里瓦
$0 交易量
42%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Mato Grosso Senate race for first place remains highly fragmented, with trader prices reflecting a broad field of viable contenders including Mauro Mendes, Janaína Riva, Carlos Fávaro, José Medeiros, and Pedro Taques. Recent June polling from Real Time Big Data highlighted Mendes and Riva leading early intentions, yet the overall distribution across multiple parties and independents has kept implied probabilities compressed near even levels. Primary drivers include the state's agricultural economy shaping candidate appeals, shifting alliances ahead of party conventions, and the two-seat structure diluting any single frontrunner. Late-campaign developments such as new surveys, formal endorsements, or coalition agreements could widen gaps by consolidating support among key voting blocs.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Mato Grosso Senate race for first place remains highly fragmented, with trader prices reflecting a broad field of viable contenders including Mauro Mendes, Janaína Riva, Carlos Fávaro, José Medeiros, and Pedro Taques. Recent June polling from Real Time Big Data highlighted Mendes and Riva leading early intentions, yet the overall distribution across multiple parties and independents has kept implied probabilities compressed near even levels. Primary drivers include the state's agricultural economy shaping candidate appeals, shifting alliances ahead of party conventions, and the two-seat structure diluting any single frontrunner. Late-campaign developments such as new surveys, formal endorsements, or coalition agreements could widen gaps by consolidating support among key voting blocs.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Mato Grosso Senate race for first place remains highly fragmented, with trader prices reflecting a broad field of viable contenders including Mauro Mendes, Janaína Riva, Carlos Fávaro, José Medeiros, and Pedro Taques. Recent June polling from Real Time Big Data highlighted Mendes and Riva leading early intentions, yet the overall distribution across multiple parties and independents has kept implied probabilities compressed near even levels. Primary drivers include the state's agricultural economy shaping candidate appeals, shifting alliances ahead of party conventions, and the two-seat structure diluting any single frontrunner. Late-campaign developments such as new surveys, formal endorsements, or coalition agreements could widen gaps by consolidating support among key voting blocs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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