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icon for Nothing Ever Happens : 9月

Nothing Ever Happens : 9月

icon for Nothing Ever Happens : 9月

Nothing Ever Happens : 9月

什么都不会发生

93% 概率
Polymarket
最新

什么都不会发生

93% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Putin out as President of Russia - Fed rate cut - Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal - Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_September.pdfOngoing diplomatic activity at the UN General Assembly, including President Trump’s address and bilateral meetings with leaders from Ukraine, Gulf states, China, and others, has produced no breakthroughs on core triggers such as a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, Zelenskyy-Putin meeting, or Israel-Hamas ceasefire. Federal Reserve policy remains unchanged, with no 50-basis-point rate cut or moves against Chair Powell or Governor Cook. Ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine continue without resolution, while routine developments like Greenland security agreements and hurricane activity fall outside the market’s specific criteria. With one week remaining in September, trader consensus reflects the absence of qualifying events and limited time for major shifts.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and
September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Putin out as President of Russia
- Fed rate cut
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_September.pdf
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Putin out as President of Russia - Fed rate cut - Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal - Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_September.pdf
交易量
$386
结束日期
2026-09-30
市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Putin out as President of Russia - Fed rate cut - Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal - Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_September.pdfOngoing diplomatic activity at the UN General Assembly, including President Trump’s address and bilateral meetings with leaders from Ukraine, Gulf states, China, and others, has produced no breakthroughs on core triggers such as a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, Zelenskyy-Putin meeting, or Israel-Hamas ceasefire. Federal Reserve policy remains unchanged, with no 50-basis-point rate cut or moves against Chair Powell or Governor Cook. Ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine continue without resolution, while routine developments like Greenland security agreements and hurricane activity fall outside the market’s specific criteria. With one week remaining in September, trader consensus reflects the absence of qualifying events and limited time for major shifts.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and
September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire
- Putin out as President of Russia
- Fed rate cut
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_September.pdf
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Putin out as President of Russia - Fed rate cut - Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal - Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_September.pdf
交易量
$386
结束日期
2026-09-30
市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 7:34 PM ET

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Nothing Ever Happens : 9月"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"什么都不会发生:九月",概率为 93%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 93¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 93%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Nothing Ever Happens : 9月"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 22, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Nothing Ever Happens : 9月"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Nothing Ever Happens : 9月"的当前领先者是"什么都不会发生:九月",概率为 93%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 93%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Nothing Ever Happens : 9月"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。