Claire Valdez leads trader consensus at 68.5 percent in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District, ahead of Antonio Reynoso at 29.5 percent, as the race to succeed retiring Representative Nydia Velázquez splits progressive coalitions. A late-May Emerson poll showed Valdez narrowly ahead among likely primary voters with high undecided shares, while Valdez posted the strongest early fundraising totals. Reynoso benefits from organized labor endorsements and Velázquez’s backing, yet Valdez holds advantages from Democratic Socialists of America support, Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s endorsement, and stronger performance among younger voters. A June 3 debate among the top three candidates and ongoing turnout efforts have reinforced the current pricing gap ahead of primary day.