Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe commands 60% trader consensus in the October 26, 2026, Ottawa mayoral race, reflecting incumbency advantages in municipal elections where incumbents historically prevail amid suburban voter preferences for centrist governance on housing affordability, transit reliability, and cost of living—top issues per a January real estate board survey. Progressive Councillor Jeff Leiper trails at 22.5% as the leading challenger after his 2025 announcement, bolstered by council experience but hampered by past budget clashes with Sutcliffe. Catherine McKenney's 8.6% stems from her 2022 runner-up showing, while conservative home builder Alex Lawson's 3% follows his January declaration and Neil Saravanamuttoo's potential 0.3% bid. No major developments in the past 30 days; nominations open May 1 could fragment the field further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于马克·萨特克利夫 60%
杰夫·莱帕 22%
凯瑟琳·麦肯尼 4.2%
亚历克斯·劳森 3.1%

马克·萨特克利夫
60%

杰夫·莱帕
22%

凯瑟琳·麦肯尼
4%

亚历克斯·劳森
3%

尼尔·萨拉瓦纳木图
<1%
马克·萨特克利夫 60%
杰夫·莱帕 22%
凯瑟琳·麦肯尼 4.2%
亚历克斯·劳森 3.1%

马克·萨特克利夫
60%

杰夫·莱帕
22%

凯瑟琳·麦肯尼
4%

亚历克斯·劳森
3%

尼尔·萨拉瓦纳木图
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
市场开放时间: Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe commands 60% trader consensus in the October 26, 2026, Ottawa mayoral race, reflecting incumbency advantages in municipal elections where incumbents historically prevail amid suburban voter preferences for centrist governance on housing affordability, transit reliability, and cost of living—top issues per a January real estate board survey. Progressive Councillor Jeff Leiper trails at 22.5% as the leading challenger after his 2025 announcement, bolstered by council experience but hampered by past budget clashes with Sutcliffe. Catherine McKenney's 8.6% stems from her 2022 runner-up showing, while conservative home builder Alex Lawson's 3% follows his January declaration and Neil Saravanamuttoo's potential 0.3% bid. No major developments in the past 30 days; nominations open May 1 could fragment the field further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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