Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe leads trader consensus at 60% implied probability for the October 26 Ottawa municipal election, buoyed by his 2022 victory with 51% of the vote and incumbency advantage in a first-past-the-post system where challengers often split opposition support. Kitchissippi Councillor Jeff Leiper, a declared progressive candidate since July 2025, trails at 22% as the perceived strongest alternative, emphasizing city services like sidewalk maintenance and transit amid voter concerns over cost of living and housing affordability highlighted in a January Ottawa Real Estate Board poll. Homebuilder Alex Lawson's January 23 announcement positioned him at 3.1%, while others like potential entrant Neil Saravanamuttoo linger below 1%; fragmented field favors Sutcliffe absent polls showing erosion. Nominations open soon, with key debates ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于马克·萨特克利夫 60%
杰夫·莱帕 22%
亚历克斯·劳森 2.8%
凯瑟琳·麦肯尼 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-26
马克·萨特克利夫
60%
杰夫·莱帕
22%
亚历克斯·劳森
3%
凯瑟琳·麦肯尼
1%
尼尔·萨拉瓦纳木图
<1%
马克·萨特克利夫 60%
杰夫·莱帕 22%
亚历克斯·劳森 2.8%
凯瑟琳·麦肯尼 <1%
最新
最新
2026-10-26
马克·萨特克利夫
$770 交易量
60%
杰夫·莱帕
$937 交易量
22%
亚历克斯·劳森
$802 交易量
3%
凯瑟琳·麦肯尼
$841 交易量
1%
尼尔·萨拉瓦纳木图
$601 交易量
<1%
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe leads trader consensus at 60% implied probability for the October 26 Ottawa municipal election, buoyed by his 2022 victory with 51% of the vote and incumbency advantage in a first-past-the-post system where challengers often split opposition support. Kitchissippi Councillor Jeff Leiper, a declared progressive candidate since July 2025, trails at 22% as the perceived strongest alternative, emphasizing city services like sidewalk maintenance and transit amid voter concerns over cost of living and housing affordability highlighted in a January Ottawa Real Estate Board poll. Homebuilder Alex Lawson's January 23 announcement positioned him at 3.1%, while others like potential entrant Neil Saravanamuttoo linger below 1%; fragmented field favors Sutcliffe absent polls showing erosion. Nominations open soon, with key debates ahead.
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
交易量
$3,951结束日期
2026-10-26市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe leads trader consensus at 60% implied probability for the October 26 Ottawa municipal election, buoyed by his 2022 victory with 51% of the vote and incumbency advantage in a first-past-the-post system where challengers often split opposition support. Kitchissippi Councillor Jeff Leiper, a declared progressive candidate since July 2025, trails at 22% as the perceived strongest alternative, emphasizing city services like sidewalk maintenance and transit amid voter concerns over cost of living and housing affordability highlighted in a January Ottawa Real Estate Board poll. Homebuilder Alex Lawson's January 23 announcement positioned him at 3.1%, while others like potential entrant Neil Saravanamuttoo linger below 1%; fragmented field favors Sutcliffe absent polls showing erosion. Nominations open soon, with key debates ahead.
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
交易量
$3,951结束日期
2026-10-26市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe leads trader consensus at 60% implied probability for the October 26 Ottawa municipal election, buoyed by his 2022 victory with 51% of the vote and incumbency advantage in a first-past-the-post system where challengers often split opposition support. Kitchissippi Councillor Jeff Leiper, a declared progressive candidate since July 2025, trails at 22% as the perceived strongest alternative, emphasizing city services like sidewalk maintenance and transit amid voter concerns over cost of living and housing affordability highlighted in a January Ottawa Real Estate Board poll. Homebuilder Alex Lawson's January 23 announcement positioned him at 3.1%, while others like potential entrant Neil Saravanamuttoo linger below 1%; fragmented field favors Sutcliffe absent polls showing erosion. Nominations open soon, with key debates ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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