SpaceX’s public S-1 filing on May 20–21, 2026, has anchored trader consensus around a mid-June Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, with June 12 carrying a 77% implied probability. The filing followed a confidential April submission and faster-than-expected SEC review, enabling reports of a June 4 roadshow launch, June 11 pricing, and listing as early as June 12. This compressed timeline, driven by strong institutional demand and Goldman Sachs leading the syndicate, has concentrated market-implied odds on that window while alternative June dates trade in the low single digits. Upcoming catalysts include final roadshow feedback and any last-minute regulatory adjustments that could shift the precise listing day within the narrow range still priced by traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于June 12 77%
June 16 10%
June 23 8%
June 17 7.3%
June 1 or earlier
1%
June 2
1%
June 3
4%
June 4
4%
June 5
<1%
June 8
1%
June 9
4%
June 10
4%
June 11
4%
June 12
77%
June 15
1%
June 16
10%
June 17
7%
June 18
7%
June 22
1%
June 23
8%
June 24
6%
June 25
5%
June 26
3%
June 29
1%
June 30 or later
1%
June 12 77%
June 16 10%
June 23 8%
June 17 7.3%
June 1 or earlier
1%
June 2
1%
June 3
4%
June 4
4%
June 5
<1%
June 8
1%
June 9
4%
June 10
4%
June 11
4%
June 12
77%
June 15
1%
June 16
10%
June 17
7%
June 18
7%
June 22
1%
June 23
8%
June 24
6%
June 25
5%
June 26
3%
June 29
1%
June 30 or later
1%
For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 20, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s public S-1 filing on May 20–21, 2026, has anchored trader consensus around a mid-June Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, with June 12 carrying a 77% implied probability. The filing followed a confidential April submission and faster-than-expected SEC review, enabling reports of a June 4 roadshow launch, June 11 pricing, and listing as early as June 12. This compressed timeline, driven by strong institutional demand and Goldman Sachs leading the syndicate, has concentrated market-implied odds on that window while alternative June dates trade in the low single digits. Upcoming catalysts include final roadshow feedback and any last-minute regulatory adjustments that could shift the precise listing day within the narrow range still priced by traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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