Chen Ting-fei secured the Democratic Progressive Party nomination for Tainan mayor after defeating fellow legislator Lin Chun-hsien in the January 2026 primary, positioning her as the clear frontrunner to succeed incumbent Huang Wei-che in the November 28 local elections. Tainan's longstanding DPP support base, combined with limited opposition momentum from Kuomintang nominee Hsieh Lung-chieh, has driven trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for Chen. A March 2026 poll showed a narrower contest, but subsequent developments appear to have consolidated her lead. Late-campaign shifts such as unexpected endorsements, turnout changes among Lai Ching-te voters, or major scandals could still alter outcomes before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于陈亭妃 93%
谢龙介 6%
林义丰 1.1%
林俊宪 <1%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
陈亭妃
93%
谢龙介
6%
林义丰
1%
林俊宪
1%
陈亭妃 93%
谢龙介 6%
林义丰 1.1%
林俊宪 <1%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
陈亭妃
$2,401 交易量
93%
谢龙介
$487 交易量
6%
林义丰
$176 交易量
1%
林俊宪
$157 交易量
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Ting-fei secured the Democratic Progressive Party nomination for Tainan mayor after defeating fellow legislator Lin Chun-hsien in the January 2026 primary, positioning her as the clear frontrunner to succeed incumbent Huang Wei-che in the November 28 local elections. Tainan's longstanding DPP support base, combined with limited opposition momentum from Kuomintang nominee Hsieh Lung-chieh, has driven trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for Chen. A March 2026 poll showed a narrower contest, but subsequent developments appear to have consolidated her lead. Late-campaign shifts such as unexpected endorsements, turnout changes among Lai Ching-te voters, or major scandals could still alter outcomes before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET
交易量
$3,220结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Ting-fei secured the Democratic Progressive Party nomination for Tainan mayor after defeating fellow legislator Lin Chun-hsien in the January 2026 primary, positioning her as the clear frontrunner to succeed incumbent Huang Wei-che in the November 28 local elections. Tainan's longstanding DPP support base, combined with limited opposition momentum from Kuomintang nominee Hsieh Lung-chieh, has driven trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for Chen. A March 2026 poll showed a narrower contest, but subsequent developments appear to have consolidated her lead. Late-campaign shifts such as unexpected endorsements, turnout changes among Lai Ching-te voters, or major scandals could still alter outcomes before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$3,220结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chen Ting-fei secured the Democratic Progressive Party nomination for Tainan mayor after defeating fellow legislator Lin Chun-hsien in the January 2026 primary, positioning her as the clear frontrunner to succeed incumbent Huang Wei-che in the November 28 local elections. Tainan's longstanding DPP support base, combined with limited opposition momentum from Kuomintang nominee Hsieh Lung-chieh, has driven trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% implied probability for Chen. A March 2026 poll showed a narrower contest, but subsequent developments appear to have consolidated her lead. Late-campaign shifts such as unexpected endorsements, turnout changes among Lai Ching-te voters, or major scandals could still alter outcomes before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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