Trader consensus in the Terrebonne by-election market strongly favors Tatiana Auguste of the Parti Québécois at 61.5%, reflecting recent polls showing her lead expanding to 46-50% amid widespread dissatisfaction with the Coalition Avenir Québec government over housing shortages and immigration policies. Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné, the former federal Bloc Québécois MP who resigned her seat last month, holds a solid 35.5% as an independent candidate appealing to sovereigntist voters disillusioned with party politics. Maxime Beaudoin's CAQ bid lags due to the party's regional slump, with minor candidates negligible. A key catalyst was last week's Léger poll post-candidate debate, widening Auguste's edge; the November 17 vote looms with low turnout risks typical of Quebec by-elections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于塔蒂安娜·奥古斯特 62%
Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné 36%
Maxime Beaudoin <1%
Maria Cantore <1%
NEW
$17,858 交易量
NEW
$17,858 交易量
Apr 13, 2026
塔蒂安娜·奥古斯特
62%
Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné
36%
Maxime Beaudoin
<1%
Maria Cantore
<1%
Adrienne Charles
<1%
Benjamin Rankin
<1%
塔蒂安娜·奥古斯特 62%
Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné 36%
Maxime Beaudoin <1%
Maria Cantore <1%
NEW
$17,858 交易量
NEW
$17,858 交易量
Apr 13, 2026
塔蒂安娜·奥古斯特
$6,883 交易量
62%
Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné
$3,213 交易量
36%
Maxime Beaudoin
$2,000 交易量
<1%
Maria Cantore
$1,920 交易量
<1%
Adrienne Charles
$1,930 交易量
<1%
Benjamin Rankin
$1,911 交易量
<1%
A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
市场开放时间： Mar 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
交易量
$17,858结束日期
Apr 13, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
交易量
$17,858结束日期
Apr 13, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Terrebonne by-election market strongly favors Tatiana Auguste of the Parti Québécois at 61.5%, reflecting recent polls showing her lead expanding to 46-50% amid widespread dissatisfaction with the Coalition Avenir Québec government over housing shortages and immigration policies. Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné, the former federal Bloc Québécois MP who resigned her seat last month, holds a solid 35.5% as an independent candidate appealing to sovereigntist voters disillusioned with party politics. Maxime Beaudoin's CAQ bid lags due to the party's regional slump, with minor candidates negligible. A key catalyst was last week's Léger poll post-candidate debate, widening Auguste's edge; the November 17 vote looms with low turnout risks typical of Quebec by-elections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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