Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.8% for Alberta joining the United States, reflecting insurmountable constitutional, legal, and political barriers on both sides of the border. Canadian law deems unilateral provincial secession illegal without federal negotiation under the Clarity Act, compounded by Indigenous treaty rights and international norms; even independence—let alone U.S. statehood—lacks majority support, with recent Abacus Data and Leger polls showing 30% backing amid rock-solid opposition from most Albertans. Premier Danielle Smith's United Conservative government opposes separation, prioritizing Alberta Sovereignty within a united Canada via executive actions against federal overreach. Late March separatist petitions claimed enough signatures (177,732 needed) for a potential October 19 referendum on independence, but verification is pending and unlikely to pass. U.S. annexation faces congressional hurdles, including partisan gridlock and economic liabilities from Alberta's oil sector. Only an unprecedented referendum supermajority followed by bilateral treaty and U.S. Senate ratification—scenarios with near-zero precedent—could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.8% for Alberta joining the United States, reflecting insurmountable constitutional, legal, and political barriers on both sides of the border. Canadian law deems unilateral provincial secession illegal without federal negotiation under the Clarity Act, compounded by Indigenous treaty rights and international norms; even independence—let alone U.S. statehood—lacks majority support, with recent Abacus Data and Leger polls showing 30% backing amid rock-solid opposition from most Albertans. Premier Danielle Smith's United Conservative government opposes separation, prioritizing Alberta Sovereignty within a united Canada via executive actions against federal overreach. Late March separatist petitions claimed enough signatures (177,732 needed) for a potential October 19 referendum on independence, but verification is pending and unlikely to pass. U.S. annexation faces congressional hurdles, including partisan gridlock and economic liabilities from Alberta's oil sector. Only an unprecedented referendum supermajority followed by bilateral treaty and U.S. Senate ratification—scenarios with near-zero precedent—could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
市场开放时间： Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
交易量
$3,849结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.8% for Alberta joining the United States, reflecting insurmountable constitutional, legal, and political barriers on both sides of the border. Canadian law deems unilateral provincial secession illegal without federal negotiation under the Clarity Act, compounded by Indigenous treaty rights and international norms; even independence—let alone U.S. statehood—lacks majority support, with recent Abacus Data and Leger polls showing 30% backing amid rock-solid opposition from most Albertans. Premier Danielle Smith's United Conservative government opposes separation, prioritizing Alberta Sovereignty within a united Canada via executive actions against federal overreach. Late March separatist petitions claimed enough signatures (177,732 needed) for a potential October 19 referendum on independence, but verification is pending and unlikely to pass. U.S. annexation faces congressional hurdles, including partisan gridlock and economic liabilities from Alberta's oil sector. Only an unprecedented referendum supermajority followed by bilateral treaty and U.S. Senate ratification—scenarios with near-zero precedent—could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
交易量
$3,849结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.8% for Alberta joining the United States, reflecting insurmountable constitutional, legal, and political barriers on both sides of the border. Canadian law deems unilateral provincial secession illegal without federal negotiation under the Clarity Act, compounded by Indigenous treaty rights and international norms; even independence—let alone U.S. statehood—lacks majority support, with recent Abacus Data and Leger polls showing 30% backing amid rock-solid opposition from most Albertans. Premier Danielle Smith's United Conservative government opposes separation, prioritizing Alberta Sovereignty within a united Canada via executive actions against federal overreach. Late March separatist petitions claimed enough signatures (177,732 needed) for a potential October 19 referendum on independence, but verification is pending and unlikely to pass. U.S. annexation faces congressional hurdles, including partisan gridlock and economic liabilities from Alberta's oil sector. Only an unprecedented referendum supermajority followed by bilateral treaty and U.S. Senate ratification—scenarios with near-zero precedent—could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题