Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.7% for Alberta joining the United States by December 31, 2026, reflecting insurmountable constitutional barriers under Canadian law requiring federal consent and amendments from seven of ten provinces representing half the population, alongside minimal public support in recent polls hovering around 20%. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has repeatedly rejected full secession or U.S. statehood, favoring provincial sovereignty within Canada instead. In the past month, a separatist petition claimed to reach the 177,000-signature threshold for a potential independence referendum but now faces First Nations-led injunctions over treaty rights violations and Elections Alberta scrutiny, stalling progress without altering the low-probability path to U.S. sovereignty. Only an unprecedented bilateral treaty or national crisis could shift odds, though historical precedents like Quebec referendums underscore the challenges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.7% for Alberta joining the United States by December 31, 2026, reflecting insurmountable constitutional barriers under Canadian law requiring federal consent and amendments from seven of ten provinces representing half the population, alongside minimal public support in recent polls hovering around 20%. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has repeatedly rejected full secession or U.S. statehood, favoring provincial sovereignty within Canada instead. In the past month, a separatist petition claimed to reach the 177,000-signature threshold for a potential independence referendum but now faces First Nations-led injunctions over treaty rights violations and Elections Alberta scrutiny, stalling progress without altering the low-probability path to U.S. sovereignty. Only an unprecedented bilateral treaty or national crisis could shift odds, though historical precedents like Quebec referendums underscore the challenges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
市场开放时间： Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
交易量
$5,125结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.7% for Alberta joining the United States by December 31, 2026, reflecting insurmountable constitutional barriers under Canadian law requiring federal consent and amendments from seven of ten provinces representing half the population, alongside minimal public support in recent polls hovering around 20%. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has repeatedly rejected full secession or U.S. statehood, favoring provincial sovereignty within Canada instead. In the past month, a separatist petition claimed to reach the 177,000-signature threshold for a potential independence referendum but now faces First Nations-led injunctions over treaty rights violations and Elections Alberta scrutiny, stalling progress without altering the low-probability path to U.S. sovereignty. Only an unprecedented bilateral treaty or national crisis could shift odds, though historical precedents like Quebec referendums underscore the challenges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
交易量
$5,125结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.7% for Alberta joining the United States by December 31, 2026, reflecting insurmountable constitutional barriers under Canadian law requiring federal consent and amendments from seven of ten provinces representing half the population, alongside minimal public support in recent polls hovering around 20%. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has repeatedly rejected full secession or U.S. statehood, favoring provincial sovereignty within Canada instead. In the past month, a separatist petition claimed to reach the 177,000-signature threshold for a potential independence referendum but now faces First Nations-led injunctions over treaty rights violations and Elections Alberta scrutiny, stalling progress without altering the low-probability path to U.S. sovereignty. Only an unprecedented bilateral treaty or national crisis could shift odds, though historical precedents like Quebec referendums underscore the challenges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题