Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.8% for Alberta joining the United States, reflecting insurmountable constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act, which requires a clear referendum majority and federal negotiations for any secession, followed by unlikely U.S. congressional approval for statehood. Recent separatist efforts, including a March petition claiming enough signatures for an Alberta independence referendum, focus on provincial sovereignty rather than U.S. accession, with Premier Danielle Smith prioritizing issues like immigration referendums over separation. Exposure of coordinated foreign disinformation networks—fake YouTube channels promoting annexation—has further discredited the narrative, underscoring minimal mainstream support and no official actions advancing the prospect amid ongoing federal-provincial tensions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.8% for Alberta joining the United States, reflecting insurmountable constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act, which requires a clear referendum majority and federal negotiations for any secession, followed by unlikely U.S. congressional approval for statehood. Recent separatist efforts, including a March petition claiming enough signatures for an Alberta independence referendum, focus on provincial sovereignty rather than U.S. accession, with Premier Danielle Smith prioritizing issues like immigration referendums over separation. Exposure of coordinated foreign disinformation networks—fake YouTube channels promoting annexation—has further discredited the narrative, underscoring minimal mainstream support and no official actions advancing the prospect amid ongoing federal-provincial tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
市场开放时间： Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
交易量
$3,516结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.8% for Alberta joining the United States, reflecting insurmountable constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act, which requires a clear referendum majority and federal negotiations for any secession, followed by unlikely U.S. congressional approval for statehood. Recent separatist efforts, including a March petition claiming enough signatures for an Alberta independence referendum, focus on provincial sovereignty rather than U.S. accession, with Premier Danielle Smith prioritizing issues like immigration referendums over separation. Exposure of coordinated foreign disinformation networks—fake YouTube channels promoting annexation—has further discredited the narrative, underscoring minimal mainstream support and no official actions advancing the prospect amid ongoing federal-provincial tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
交易量
$3,516结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 94.8% for Alberta joining the United States, reflecting insurmountable constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act, which requires a clear referendum majority and federal negotiations for any secession, followed by unlikely U.S. congressional approval for statehood. Recent separatist efforts, including a March petition claiming enough signatures for an Alberta independence referendum, focus on provincial sovereignty rather than U.S. accession, with Premier Danielle Smith prioritizing issues like immigration referendums over separation. Exposure of coordinated foreign disinformation networks—fake YouTube channels promoting annexation—has further discredited the narrative, underscoring minimal mainstream support and no official actions advancing the prospect amid ongoing federal-provincial tensions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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