Canada’s federal government has sharply reduced permanent resident targets to 380,000 for 2026 while imposing tighter caps on temporary residents such as international students and foreign workers to bring their share of the population below 5 percent by year-end. These measures have already produced consecutive quarterly population declines in late 2025 and a 0.2 percent year-over-year drop as of January 1, 2026, according to Statistics Canada. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicate flat overall growth for the calendar year as net outflows of non-permanent residents offset new permanent admissions and limited natural increase. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced because actual net migration depends on the pace of permit expirations, potential data revisions, and any policy adjustments that could alter outflows before December.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于上升
上升
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Canada’s federal government has sharply reduced permanent resident targets to 380,000 for 2026 while imposing tighter caps on temporary residents such as international students and foreign workers to bring their share of the population below 5 percent by year-end. These measures have already produced consecutive quarterly population declines in late 2025 and a 0.2 percent year-over-year drop as of January 1, 2026, according to Statistics Canada. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicate flat overall growth for the calendar year as net outflows of non-permanent residents offset new permanent admissions and limited natural increase. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced because actual net migration depends on the pace of permit expirations, potential data revisions, and any policy adjustments that could alter outflows before December.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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