Canada's federal government has implemented the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, stabilizing permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually while sharply cutting temporary resident arrivals to 385,000. This builds on prior caps and eligibility restrictions for international students and temporary foreign workers, aiming to reduce non-permanent residents to 5% of the population. Statistics Canada data confirm consecutive quarterly declines in 2025 and early 2026, driven by net outflows of non-permanent residents exceeding inflows and low natural increase. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicate flat or negative population growth for the full year as these outflows offset permanent resident gains, aligning with the high trader probability for an overall annual decline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于上升
17% 概率
最新
最新
2027-04-29
上升
17% 概率
最新
最新
2027-04-29
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada's federal government has implemented the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, stabilizing permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually while sharply cutting temporary resident arrivals to 385,000. This builds on prior caps and eligibility restrictions for international students and temporary foreign workers, aiming to reduce non-permanent residents to 5% of the population. Statistics Canada data confirm consecutive quarterly declines in 2025 and early 2026, driven by net outflows of non-permanent residents exceeding inflows and low natural increase. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicate flat or negative population growth for the full year as these outflows offset permanent resident gains, aligning with the high trader probability for an overall annual decline.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
交易量
$2,198结束日期
2027-04-30市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada's federal government has implemented the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, stabilizing permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually while sharply cutting temporary resident arrivals to 385,000. This builds on prior caps and eligibility restrictions for international students and temporary foreign workers, aiming to reduce non-permanent residents to 5% of the population. Statistics Canada data confirm consecutive quarterly declines in 2025 and early 2026, driven by net outflows of non-permanent residents exceeding inflows and low natural increase. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicate flat or negative population growth for the full year as these outflows offset permanent resident gains, aligning with the high trader probability for an overall annual decline.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,198结束日期
2027-04-30市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ETCanada's federal government has implemented the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, stabilizing permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually while sharply cutting temporary resident arrivals to 385,000. This builds on prior caps and eligibility restrictions for international students and temporary foreign workers, aiming to reduce non-permanent residents to 5% of the population. Statistics Canada data confirm consecutive quarterly declines in 2025 and early 2026, driven by net outflows of non-permanent residents exceeding inflows and low natural increase. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicate flat or negative population growth for the full year as these outflows offset permanent resident gains, aligning with the high trader probability for an overall annual decline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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