Canada’s population is projected to see flat or negative growth in 2026 after sharp cuts to immigration targets under the 2026–2028 Immigration Levels Plan. Permanent resident admissions stabilize at 380,000 annually, a modest reduction from 2025, while new temporary resident targets drop sharply to 385,000. This includes fewer international students and work permits. Parliamentary Budget Office analysis attributes the outlook to sustained net outflows of non-permanent residents offsetting permanent inflows, alongside Canada’s low natural increase from aging demographics and fertility rates. These policy shifts, announced in late 2025 and reinforced through 2026, have shaped trader consensus around the likelihood of an overall population decline for the year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于上升
最新
最新
2027-04-30
上升
最新
最新
2027-04-30
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada’s population is projected to see flat or negative growth in 2026 after sharp cuts to immigration targets under the 2026–2028 Immigration Levels Plan. Permanent resident admissions stabilize at 380,000 annually, a modest reduction from 2025, while new temporary resident targets drop sharply to 385,000. This includes fewer international students and work permits. Parliamentary Budget Office analysis attributes the outlook to sustained net outflows of non-permanent residents offsetting permanent inflows, alongside Canada’s low natural increase from aging demographics and fertility rates. These policy shifts, announced in late 2025 and reinforced through 2026, have shaped trader consensus around the likelihood of an overall population decline for the year.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
交易量
$2,151结束日期
2027-04-30市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada’s population is projected to see flat or negative growth in 2026 after sharp cuts to immigration targets under the 2026–2028 Immigration Levels Plan. Permanent resident admissions stabilize at 380,000 annually, a modest reduction from 2025, while new temporary resident targets drop sharply to 385,000. This includes fewer international students and work permits. Parliamentary Budget Office analysis attributes the outlook to sustained net outflows of non-permanent residents offsetting permanent inflows, alongside Canada’s low natural increase from aging demographics and fertility rates. These policy shifts, announced in late 2025 and reinforced through 2026, have shaped trader consensus around the likelihood of an overall population decline for the year.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,151结束日期
2027-04-30市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada’s population is projected to see flat or negative growth in 2026 after sharp cuts to immigration targets under the 2026–2028 Immigration Levels Plan. Permanent resident admissions stabilize at 380,000 annually, a modest reduction from 2025, while new temporary resident targets drop sharply to 385,000. This includes fewer international students and work permits. Parliamentary Budget Office analysis attributes the outlook to sustained net outflows of non-permanent residents offsetting permanent inflows, alongside Canada’s low natural increase from aging demographics and fertility rates. These policy shifts, announced in late 2025 and reinforced through 2026, have shaped trader consensus around the likelihood of an overall population decline for the year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题