Market icon

2026年底的美联储利率是多少?

Market icon

2026年底的美联储利率是多少?

3.25% 33%

3.5% 31%

3.75% 11.4%

3.0% 11%

Polymarket

$548,335 交易量

3.25% 33%

3.5% 31%

3.75% 11.4%

3.0% 11%

Polymarket

$548,335 交易量

≤1.0%

$34,662 交易量

2%

1.25

$43,430 交易量

1%

1.5%

$59,841 交易量

1%

1.75%

$24,413 交易量

1%

2.0%

$12,678 交易量

<1%

2.25%

$10,543 交易量

1%

2.5%

$49,710 交易量

4%

2.75%

$0 交易量

7%

3.0%

$17,362 交易量

11%

3.25%

$21,898 交易量

33%

3.5%

$30,769 交易量

31%

3.75%

$163,327 交易量

11%

4.0%

$52,761 交易量

2%

4.25%

$13,372 交易量

1%

大于等于4.5%

$13,568 交易量

<1%

The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.

This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.

The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
交易量
$548,335
结束日期
Dec 9, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 12, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time. The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026年底的美联储利率是多少?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 15 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"3.25%",概率为 33%,其次是"3.5%",概率为 31%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 33¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 33%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"2026年底的美联储利率是多少?"已产生 $548.3K 的总交易量(自Jan 12, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026年底的美联储利率是多少?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 15 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年底的美联储利率是多少?"的当前领先者是"3.25%",概率为 33%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 33%。紧随其后的结果是"3.5%",概率为 31%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年底的美联储利率是多少?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。