Rising U.S.-China tensions and regulatory uncertainty around CXMT’s placement on the Pentagon’s 1260H list drive the market’s strong “No” consensus. Apple began lobbying the Trump administration in June 2026 for assurances that the Chinese DRAM maker would avoid the stricter Commerce Entity List, amid AI-driven memory shortages that forced product price hikes. While Apple has conducted limited testing and early talks focused on China-market devices, no supply agreement has been confirmed. Congressional opposition, CXMT’s near-full capacity through 2027, and the risk of sudden licensing restrictions continue to outweigh cost pressures, leaving any 2026 purchase highly contingent on White House approval that remains uncertain.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
19% 概率
$21,868 交易量
$21,868 交易量
2026-12-31
是
19% 概率
$21,868 交易量
$21,868 交易量
2026-12-31
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Rising U.S.-China tensions and regulatory uncertainty around CXMT’s placement on the Pentagon’s 1260H list drive the market’s strong “No” consensus. Apple began lobbying the Trump administration in June 2026 for assurances that the Chinese DRAM maker would avoid the stricter Commerce Entity List, amid AI-driven memory shortages that forced product price hikes. While Apple has conducted limited testing and early talks focused on China-market devices, no supply agreement has been confirmed. Congressional opposition, CXMT’s near-full capacity through 2027, and the risk of sudden licensing restrictions continue to outweigh cost pressures, leaving any 2026 purchase highly contingent on White House approval that remains uncertain.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ET
交易量
$21,868结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETAccording to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Rising U.S.-China tensions and regulatory uncertainty around CXMT’s placement on the Pentagon’s 1260H list drive the market’s strong “No” consensus. Apple began lobbying the Trump administration in June 2026 for assurances that the Chinese DRAM maker would avoid the stricter Commerce Entity List, amid AI-driven memory shortages that forced product price hikes. While Apple has conducted limited testing and early talks focused on China-market devices, no supply agreement has been confirmed. Congressional opposition, CXMT’s near-full capacity through 2027, and the risk of sudden licensing restrictions continue to outweigh cost pressures, leaving any 2026 purchase highly contingent on White House approval that remains uncertain.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$21,868结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETRising U.S.-China tensions and regulatory uncertainty around CXMT’s placement on the Pentagon’s 1260H list drive the market’s strong “No” consensus. Apple began lobbying the Trump administration in June 2026 for assurances that the Chinese DRAM maker would avoid the stricter Commerce Entity List, amid AI-driven memory shortages that forced product price hikes. While Apple has conducted limited testing and early talks focused on China-market devices, no supply agreement has been confirmed. Congressional opposition, CXMT’s near-full capacity through 2027, and the risk of sudden licensing restrictions continue to outweigh cost pressures, leaving any 2026 purchase highly contingent on White House approval that remains uncertain.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题