Apple's long-standing annual iPhone release cadence and multiple credible reports confirming a September 2026 launch for the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models drive the 97.2% implied probability for a 2026 release. Recent coverage from MacRumors, Forbes, and others highlights Apple's plan to introduce premium models alongside its first foldable iPhone this fall, with pre-orders expected shortly after a September keynote. While the base iPhone 18 may shift to early 2027 under a split schedule, the Pro variants ensure at least some iPhone 18 series hardware reaches the market this year. Supply-chain disruptions, last-minute technical setbacks, or regulatory hurdles remain low-probability risks given Apple's execution history, but they represent the main variables that could still alter timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$164,021 交易量
$164,021 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$164,021 交易量
$164,021 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's long-standing annual iPhone release cadence and multiple credible reports confirming a September 2026 launch for the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models drive the 97.2% implied probability for a 2026 release. Recent coverage from MacRumors, Forbes, and others highlights Apple's plan to introduce premium models alongside its first foldable iPhone this fall, with pre-orders expected shortly after a September keynote. While the base iPhone 18 may shift to early 2027 under a split schedule, the Pro variants ensure at least some iPhone 18 series hardware reaches the market this year. Supply-chain disruptions, last-minute technical setbacks, or regulatory hurdles remain low-probability risks given Apple's execution history, but they represent the main variables that could still alter timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
交易量
$164,021结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's long-standing annual iPhone release cadence and multiple credible reports confirming a September 2026 launch for the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models drive the 97.2% implied probability for a 2026 release. Recent coverage from MacRumors, Forbes, and others highlights Apple's plan to introduce premium models alongside its first foldable iPhone this fall, with pre-orders expected shortly after a September keynote. While the base iPhone 18 may shift to early 2027 under a split schedule, the Pro variants ensure at least some iPhone 18 series hardware reaches the market this year. Supply-chain disruptions, last-minute technical setbacks, or regulatory hurdles remain low-probability risks given Apple's execution history, but they represent the main variables that could still alter timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$164,021结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's long-standing annual iPhone release cadence and multiple credible reports confirming a September 2026 launch for the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models drive the 97.2% implied probability for a 2026 release. Recent coverage from MacRumors, Forbes, and others highlights Apple's plan to introduce premium models alongside its first foldable iPhone this fall, with pre-orders expected shortly after a September keynote. While the base iPhone 18 may shift to early 2027 under a split schedule, the Pro variants ensure at least some iPhone 18 series hardware reaches the market this year. Supply-chain disruptions, last-minute technical setbacks, or regulatory hurdles remain low-probability risks given Apple's execution history, but they represent the main variables that could still alter timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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