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预测与赔率

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How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

50%

35%

$76.2K 交易量

$30.1K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

How low will Trump's approval rating go by end of May?

How low will Trump's approval rating go by end of May?

66%

38.0%

$2.9K 交易量

$2.6K Liq.

Ends 9 天内

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

38%

3.9%

$215K 交易量

$23.3K Liq.

3

Ends 7 个月内

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

72%

↓ $95

$24M 交易量

$2M today

$3M Liq.

1

Ends 9 天内

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

67%

↑ $105

$18M 交易量

$262K today

$1M Liq.

2

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

96%

↑$1.0T

$473K 交易量

$127K today

$1M Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

87%

↑$900B

$368K 交易量

$65.9K today

$968K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?

66%

↑ $750

$692K 交易量

$60.0K today

$153K Liq.

3

Ends 10 天内

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of May 18 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of May 18 2026?

91%

↑ $745

$69.4K 交易量

$53.7K Liq.

Ends 大约 14 小时内

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

60%

↑ $4,600

$771K 交易量

$148K Liq.

4

Ends 10 天内

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of May 18 2026?

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of May 18 2026?

43%

↓ $95

$88.2K 交易量

$113K Liq.

Ends 大约 15 小时内

Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?

92%

↑$1.5T

$186K 交易量

$230K Liq.

2

Ends 大约 1 个月内

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in May 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in May 2026?

14%

↑ $240

$543K 交易量

$83.0K Liq.

Ends 10 天内

Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by June 30?

97%

↑$12B

$27.6K 交易量

$9.4K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Will Stripe's valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will Stripe's valuation hit __ by June 30?

81%

↑$180B

$61.0K 交易量

$104K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by June 30?

91%

↑$850B

$56.7K 交易量

$195K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

68%

↑ $3.20

$274K 交易量

$101K Liq.

1

Ends 10 天内

Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?

Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?

100%

↑ $80

$4M 交易量

$376K Liq.

1

Ends 大约 1 个月内

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of May 18 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of May 18 2026?

8%

↓ $212

$46.6K 交易量

$12.0K Liq.

Ends 大约 14 小时内

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?

86%

↓ $4,500

$5M 交易量

$250K Liq.

2

Ends 大约 1 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 低 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 316 个活跃的 低 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $55.4M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?",市场目前认为 ↑ $100 的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 低 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。