China's July CPI print of 0.5% year-over-year, below forecasts amid food deflation and softening non-food components, has anchored trader expectations for the August annual rate near similar levels. Persistent weak domestic demand, ample pork supplies pressuring food prices, and subdued consumption continue to limit upward momentum, while modest core inflation near 0.9% and seasonal factors such as summer services demand, vegetable price rebounds, and recent oil price movements introduce modest upside risks. Recent PMI readings showing contractionary territory and sluggish new orders reinforce the closely balanced probabilities between the 0.5-0.6% and 0.7-0.8% ranges ahead of the National Bureau of Statistics release.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড0.5% - 0.6% 44%
0.7% - 0.8% 42%
0.9%+ 15.5%
0.3% - 0.4% 4.0%
$21,568 Vol.
$21,568 Vol.
≤0.2%
1%
0.3% - 0.4%
4%
0.5% - 0.6%
44%
0.7% - 0.8%
42%
0.9%+
16%
0.5% - 0.6% 44%
0.7% - 0.8% 42%
0.9%+ 15.5%
0.3% - 0.4% 4.0%
$21,568 Vol.
$21,568 Vol.
≤0.2%
1%
0.3% - 0.4%
4%
0.5% - 0.6%
44%
0.7% - 0.8%
42%
0.9%+
16%
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...China's July CPI print of 0.5% year-over-year, below forecasts amid food deflation and softening non-food components, has anchored trader expectations for the August annual rate near similar levels. Persistent weak domestic demand, ample pork supplies pressuring food prices, and subdued consumption continue to limit upward momentum, while modest core inflation near 0.9% and seasonal factors such as summer services demand, vegetable price rebounds, and recent oil price movements introduce modest upside risks. Recent PMI readings showing contractionary territory and sluggish new orders reinforce the closely balanced probabilities between the 0.5-0.6% and 0.7-0.8% ranges ahead of the National Bureau of Statistics release.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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