Polymarket traders assign a 91.5% implied probability to no Federal Reserve rate change at the June 17-18 FOMC meeting, reflecting strong consensus driven by persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market that diminish near-term cut urgency. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—fueled by energy price spikes amid Iran conflict risks, while nonfarm payrolls rose 178,000 and unemployment dipped to 4.3%. The March FOMC held the fed funds target at 3.5%-3.75%, with dot plot signaling just one 2026 cut later in the year. Softer-than-expected April CPI (due May 12) or weakening May jobs data could realistically erode this positioning by reviving easing bets.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডজুন মাসে ফেডের সিদ্ধান্ত?
জুন মাসে ফেডের সিদ্ধান্ত?
কোনো পরিবর্তন নয় 92%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো 6%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি 2.1%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো 1.6%
$8,490,719 Vol.
$8,490,719 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
2%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
6%
কোনো পরিবর্তন নয়
92%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
2%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
1%
কোনো পরিবর্তন নয় 92%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো 6%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি 2.1%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো 1.6%
$8,490,719 Vol.
$8,490,719 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
$2,446,877 Vol.
2%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
$1,289,784 Vol.
6%
কোনো পরিবর্তন নয়
$1,573,554 Vol.
92%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
$1,721,478 Vol.
2%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
$1,459,860 Vol.
1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders assign a 91.5% implied probability to no Federal Reserve rate change at the June 17-18 FOMC meeting, reflecting strong consensus driven by persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market that diminish near-term cut urgency. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—fueled by energy price spikes amid Iran conflict risks, while nonfarm payrolls rose 178,000 and unemployment dipped to 4.3%. The March FOMC held the fed funds target at 3.5%-3.75%, with dot plot signaling just one 2026 cut later in the year. Softer-than-expected April CPI (due May 12) or weakening May jobs data could realistically erode this positioning by reviving easing bets.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ET
ভলিউম
$8,490,719শেষ তারিখ
Jun 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders assign a 91.5% implied probability to no Federal Reserve rate change at the June 17-18 FOMC meeting, reflecting strong consensus driven by persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market that diminish near-term cut urgency. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—fueled by energy price spikes amid Iran conflict risks, while nonfarm payrolls rose 178,000 and unemployment dipped to 4.3%. The March FOMC held the fed funds target at 3.5%-3.75%, with dot plot signaling just one 2026 cut later in the year. Softer-than-expected April CPI (due May 12) or weakening May jobs data could realistically erode this positioning by reviving easing bets.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ভলিউম
$8,490,719শেষ তারিখ
Jun 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders assign a 91.5% implied probability to no Federal Reserve rate change at the June 17-18 FOMC meeting, reflecting strong consensus driven by persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market that diminish near-term cut urgency. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—fueled by energy price spikes amid Iran conflict risks, while nonfarm payrolls rose 178,000 and unemployment dipped to 4.3%. The March FOMC held the fed funds target at 3.5%-3.75%, with dot plot signaling just one 2026 cut later in the year. Softer-than-expected April CPI (due May 12) or weakening May jobs data could realistically erode this positioning by reviving easing bets.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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