Polymarket traders price a 99.3% implied probability of no change to the federal funds rate at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, driven by reaccelerating inflation and labor market resilience. March 2026 CPI surged 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from 2.4%—fueled by energy price spikes from geopolitical tensions, while nonfarm payrolls added a robust 178,000 jobs after February's contraction. Echoing the Fed's March decision to hold at 3.50%-3.75% with just one 2026 cut projected, Chair Powell highlighted policy patience amid uncertainty. This capital-backed consensus faces rare challenges from softer-than-expected pre-meeting data like retail sales or ISM surveys, though upside inflation risks reinforce the pause.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডএপ্রিল মাসে ফেডের সিদ্ধান্ত?
এপ্রিল মাসে ফেডের সিদ্ধান্ত?
কোনো পরিবর্তন নেই 99.3%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো <1%
২৫ বা তার বেশি বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি <1%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো <1%
$107,704,870 Vol.
$107,704,870 Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
<1%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
<1%
কোনো পরিবর্তন নেই
99%
২৫ বা তার বেশি বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
<1%
কোনো পরিবর্তন নেই 99.3%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো <1%
২৫ বা তার বেশি বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি <1%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো <1%
$107,704,870 Vol.
$107,704,870 Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
$41,037,739 Vol.
<1%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
$20,792,685 Vol.
<1%
কোনো পরিবর্তন নেই
$21,097,322 Vol.
99%
২৫ বা তার বেশি বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
$24,779,244 Vol.
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 99.3% implied probability of no change to the federal funds rate at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, driven by reaccelerating inflation and labor market resilience. March 2026 CPI surged 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from 2.4%—fueled by energy price spikes from geopolitical tensions, while nonfarm payrolls added a robust 178,000 jobs after February's contraction. Echoing the Fed's March decision to hold at 3.50%-3.75% with just one 2026 cut projected, Chair Powell highlighted policy patience amid uncertainty. This capital-backed consensus faces rare challenges from softer-than-expected pre-meeting data like retail sales or ISM surveys, though upside inflation risks reinforce the pause.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 12, 2025, 7:26 PM ET
ভলিউম
$107,704,870শেষ তারিখ
Apr 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 99.3% implied probability of no change to the federal funds rate at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, driven by reaccelerating inflation and labor market resilience. March 2026 CPI surged 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from 2.4%—fueled by energy price spikes from geopolitical tensions, while nonfarm payrolls added a robust 178,000 jobs after February's contraction. Echoing the Fed's March decision to hold at 3.50%-3.75% with just one 2026 cut projected, Chair Powell highlighted policy patience amid uncertainty. This capital-backed consensus faces rare challenges from softer-than-expected pre-meeting data like retail sales or ISM surveys, though upside inflation risks reinforce the pause.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ভলিউম
$107,704,870শেষ তারিখ
Apr 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 99.3% implied probability of no change to the federal funds rate at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, driven by reaccelerating inflation and labor market resilience. March 2026 CPI surged 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from 2.4%—fueled by energy price spikes from geopolitical tensions, while nonfarm payrolls added a robust 178,000 jobs after February's contraction. Echoing the Fed's March decision to hold at 3.50%-3.75% with just one 2026 cut projected, Chair Powell highlighted policy patience amid uncertainty. This capital-backed consensus faces rare challenges from softer-than-expected pre-meeting data like retail sales or ISM surveys, though upside inflation risks reinforce the pause.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা