A strong influx of cold southerly air has driven the market-implied probability for a 12°C high in Buenos Aires on September 12 to 99.7%. Official forecasts from agencies and models show persistent cloud cover, southerly winds averaging 25–30 km/h, and daytime maxima confined to 10–11°C after an early reading near that level, aligning with the current observational trend and September climatology for the region. This consensus across multiple runs leaves little room for warmer outcomes. A realistic shift would require an unexpected model revision showing advection of milder air or a localized measurement anomaly exceeding forecast guidance by late afternoon, though such divergence remains improbable given the stable high-pressure setup and consistent agency briefings.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 12?
12°C 99.7%
14°C <1%
13°C <1%
8°C or below <1%
$60,586 Vol.
$60,586 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 99.7%
14°C <1%
13°C <1%
8°C or below <1%
$60,586 Vol.
$60,586 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 10, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...A strong influx of cold southerly air has driven the market-implied probability for a 12°C high in Buenos Aires on September 12 to 99.7%. Official forecasts from agencies and models show persistent cloud cover, southerly winds averaging 25–30 km/h, and daytime maxima confined to 10–11°C after an early reading near that level, aligning with the current observational trend and September climatology for the region. This consensus across multiple runs leaves little room for warmer outcomes. A realistic shift would require an unexpected model revision showing advection of milder air or a localized measurement anomaly exceeding forecast guidance by late afternoon, though such divergence remains improbable given the stable high-pressure setup and consistent agency briefings.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা