Louisiana’s 1st congressional district, anchored in New Orleans suburbs and the North Shore, carries an R+19 to R+20 partisan voter index and has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Steve Scalise, first elected in 2008 and serving as House Majority Leader, faces only modest primary opposition from Randall Arrington while Democrat Lauren Jewett trails sharply in fundraising and visibility. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the district’s consistent support for Republican presidential candidates. Traders price the Republican nominee at 95.9 percent implied probability, reflecting entrenched incumbency advantages and structural partisan lean. A Democratic upset would require either a major scandal or health event sidelining Scalise or an unprecedented national swing that overcomes the district’s baseline voting patterns.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLA-01 House Election Winner
LA-01 House Election Winner
$52,223 Vol.
$52,223 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
5%
$52,223 Vol.
$52,223 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$22,399 Vol.
96%
Democratic Party
$29,823 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st congressional district, anchored in New Orleans suburbs and the North Shore, carries an R+19 to R+20 partisan voter index and has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Steve Scalise, first elected in 2008 and serving as House Majority Leader, faces only modest primary opposition from Randall Arrington while Democrat Lauren Jewett trails sharply in fundraising and visibility. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the district’s consistent support for Republican presidential candidates. Traders price the Republican nominee at 95.9 percent implied probability, reflecting entrenched incumbency advantages and structural partisan lean. A Democratic upset would require either a major scandal or health event sidelining Scalise or an unprecedented national swing that overcomes the district’s baseline voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$52,223শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st congressional district, anchored in New Orleans suburbs and the North Shore, carries an R+19 to R+20 partisan voter index and has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Steve Scalise, first elected in 2008 and serving as House Majority Leader, faces only modest primary opposition from Randall Arrington while Democrat Lauren Jewett trails sharply in fundraising and visibility. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the district’s consistent support for Republican presidential candidates. Traders price the Republican nominee at 95.9 percent implied probability, reflecting entrenched incumbency advantages and structural partisan lean. A Democratic upset would require either a major scandal or health event sidelining Scalise or an unprecedented national swing that overcomes the district’s baseline voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$52,223শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 1st congressional district, anchored in New Orleans suburbs and the North Shore, carries an R+19 to R+20 partisan voter index and has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Steve Scalise, first elected in 2008 and serving as House Majority Leader, faces only modest primary opposition from Randall Arrington while Democrat Lauren Jewett trails sharply in fundraising and visibility. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the district’s consistent support for Republican presidential candidates. Traders price the Republican nominee at 95.9 percent implied probability, reflecting entrenched incumbency advantages and structural partisan lean. A Democratic upset would require either a major scandal or health event sidelining Scalise or an unprecedented national swing that overcomes the district’s baseline voting patterns.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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