Forecast models from agencies including the South African Weather Service and GFS runs project an overnight minimum near 14 °C for Cape Town on 21 September under clear skies and light southeasterly flow, supporting the market’s strong 73.5 % implied probability for that exact low. Radiative cooling overnight is tempered by the city’s coastal location and typical September wind patterns, keeping values above the 10–11 °C range that carries only 2.8 % combined odds. Historical September minima average near 10 °C, but current stable high-pressure conditions and above-normal daytime warmth have shifted consensus higher. Updated model runs through the morning will refine the precise hourly low before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 21?
12°C 100%
14°C 97%
13°C 48%
11°C 2.6%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
100%
13°C
48%
14°C
74%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
12°C 100%
14°C 97%
13°C 48%
11°C 2.6%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
100%
13°C
48%
14°C
74%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the South African Weather Service and GFS runs project an overnight minimum near 14 °C for Cape Town on 21 September under clear skies and light southeasterly flow, supporting the market’s strong 73.5 % implied probability for that exact low. Radiative cooling overnight is tempered by the city’s coastal location and typical September wind patterns, keeping values above the 10–11 °C range that carries only 2.8 % combined odds. Historical September minima average near 10 °C, but current stable high-pressure conditions and above-normal daytime warmth have shifted consensus higher. Updated model runs through the morning will refine the precise hourly low before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা