Recent forecasts for Moscow's September 24 low show notable divergence between models, with some projecting nocturnal cooling to 4–8°C under clearer breaks and others holding near 12–14°C amid persistent cloud and rain. Incoming cyclones from the west and shifting southerly to easterly winds are modulating advection and limiting radiative cooling overnight, while above-normal warmth earlier in the month provides limited baseline support. This genuine short-term uncertainty—typical for 48-hour outlooks where GFS and ECMWF runs can shift several degrees—explains the near-even market split between sub-6°C and 16°C-plus outcomes. Updated guidance from the Hydrometeorological Center and fresh ensemble runs ahead of resolution will likely narrow trader consensus on the exact minimum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Moscow on September 24?
6°C or below 100%
16°C or higher 98%
7°C 40%
8°C 40%
6°C or below
100%
7°C
40%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C or higher
98%
6°C or below 100%
16°C or higher 98%
7°C 40%
8°C 40%
6°C or below
100%
7°C
40%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Moscow's September 24 low show notable divergence between models, with some projecting nocturnal cooling to 4–8°C under clearer breaks and others holding near 12–14°C amid persistent cloud and rain. Incoming cyclones from the west and shifting southerly to easterly winds are modulating advection and limiting radiative cooling overnight, while above-normal warmth earlier in the month provides limited baseline support. This genuine short-term uncertainty—typical for 48-hour outlooks where GFS and ECMWF runs can shift several degrees—explains the near-even market split between sub-6°C and 16°C-plus outcomes. Updated guidance from the Hydrometeorological Center and fresh ensemble runs ahead of resolution will likely narrow trader consensus on the exact minimum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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