Latest ensemble and deterministic runs from GFS and related models indicate a minimum near 12°C for Paris on September 22 under clear, high-pressure conditions with light northeast winds promoting modest radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus favoring 10–11°C (combined ~74.5% implied probability) likely incorporates minor model spread, urban measurement nuances at official stations, and historical September lows averaging 11°C. Stable anticyclonic flow with no incoming fronts supports dry, mild nights, though small forecast revisions in the final 48 hours could shift the exact threshold. Météo-France and updated model guidance expected before resolution will clarify whether readings dip toward 9–10°C or hold near the current central estimate.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Paris on September 22?
10°C 42%
9°C 32%
11°C 29%
12°C 22%
7°C or below
21%
8°C
2%
9°C
32%
10°C
42%
11°C
29%
12°C
22%
13°C
15%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
2%
10°C 42%
9°C 32%
11°C 29%
12°C 22%
7°C or below
21%
8°C
2%
9°C
32%
10°C
42%
11°C
29%
12°C
22%
13°C
15%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble and deterministic runs from GFS and related models indicate a minimum near 12°C for Paris on September 22 under clear, high-pressure conditions with light northeast winds promoting modest radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus favoring 10–11°C (combined ~74.5% implied probability) likely incorporates minor model spread, urban measurement nuances at official stations, and historical September lows averaging 11°C. Stable anticyclonic flow with no incoming fronts supports dry, mild nights, though small forecast revisions in the final 48 hours could shift the exact threshold. Météo-France and updated model guidance expected before resolution will clarify whether readings dip toward 9–10°C or hold near the current central estimate.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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