**Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a clear edge in the NY-03 race due to his moderate profile, strong fundraising, and the district’s Lean Democratic rating from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball.** The North Shore Long Island and northeast Queens seat, which Trump carried in 2024, remains competitive in the midterm cycle, yet Suozzi’s 2024 general-election win and cash-on-hand advantage position Democrats as the consensus favorite at 55.5 percent. Republicans, with Michael LiPetri Jr. favored in their June 23 primary, face an uphill path despite targeting the district. The upcoming primaries and general-election dynamics on November 3 continue to shape trader assessments of the implied probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNY-03 House Election Winner
NY-03 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
-
Democratic Party
56%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$160 Vol.
-
Democratic Party
$800 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a clear edge in the NY-03 race due to his moderate profile, strong fundraising, and the district’s Lean Democratic rating from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball.** The North Shore Long Island and northeast Queens seat, which Trump carried in 2024, remains competitive in the midterm cycle, yet Suozzi’s 2024 general-election win and cash-on-hand advantage position Democrats as the consensus favorite at 55.5 percent. Republicans, with Michael LiPetri Jr. favored in their June 23 primary, face an uphill path despite targeting the district. The upcoming primaries and general-election dynamics on November 3 continue to shape trader assessments of the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
ভলিউম
$960শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a clear edge in the NY-03 race due to his moderate profile, strong fundraising, and the district’s Lean Democratic rating from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball.** The North Shore Long Island and northeast Queens seat, which Trump carried in 2024, remains competitive in the midterm cycle, yet Suozzi’s 2024 general-election win and cash-on-hand advantage position Democrats as the consensus favorite at 55.5 percent. Republicans, with Michael LiPetri Jr. favored in their June 23 primary, face an uphill path despite targeting the district. The upcoming primaries and general-election dynamics on November 3 continue to shape trader assessments of the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$960শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a clear edge in the NY-03 race due to his moderate profile, strong fundraising, and the district’s Lean Democratic rating from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball.** The North Shore Long Island and northeast Queens seat, which Trump carried in 2024, remains competitive in the midterm cycle, yet Suozzi’s 2024 general-election win and cash-on-hand advantage position Democrats as the consensus favorite at 55.5 percent. Republicans, with Michael LiPetri Jr. favored in their June 23 primary, face an uphill path despite targeting the district. The upcoming primaries and general-election dynamics on November 3 continue to shape trader assessments of the implied probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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