Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81.5% implied probability for a Selic rate decrease at the June 2026 Copom meeting, driven by the central bank's March 17-18 decision to initiate easing with a unanimous 25 basis point cut to 14.75%—the first since May 2024—following five prior holds amid cooling inflation pressures. Recent March IPCA data, released April 10, showed acceleration to 4.14% year-over-year from fuel cost surges tied to Middle East oil shocks, pushing Focus survey 2026 inflation forecasts to 4.7%, above the 3% target. Resilient labor markets and Q1 GDP momentum bolster growth outlook, yet global uncertainties cap pace; May Copom readout will refine rate path expectations versus current forward curve pricing 225 basis points of 2026 cuts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertEntscheidung der Bank of Brazil im Juni?
Entscheidung der Bank of Brazil im Juni?
Senkung 82%
Keine Änderung 16%
Erhöhung 3.0%
$21,276 Vol.
$21,276 Vol.
Erhöhung
3%
Keine Änderung
16%
Senkung
82%
Senkung 82%
Keine Änderung 16%
Erhöhung 3.0%
$21,276 Vol.
$21,276 Vol.
Erhöhung
3%
Keine Änderung
16%
Senkung
82%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81.5% implied probability for a Selic rate decrease at the June 2026 Copom meeting, driven by the central bank's March 17-18 decision to initiate easing with a unanimous 25 basis point cut to 14.75%—the first since May 2024—following five prior holds amid cooling inflation pressures. Recent March IPCA data, released April 10, showed acceleration to 4.14% year-over-year from fuel cost surges tied to Middle East oil shocks, pushing Focus survey 2026 inflation forecasts to 4.7%, above the 3% target. Resilient labor markets and Q1 GDP momentum bolster growth outlook, yet global uncertainties cap pace; May Copom readout will refine rate path expectations versus current forward curve pricing 225 basis points of 2026 cuts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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