Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at 97.7% implied probability for the April 24, 2026, meeting, reflecting seven consecutive 50 basis point cuts since late 2025 that lowered the rate to 15.00% on March 20 amid moderating inflation—March 2026 CPI at 5.86% year-over-year and underlying pressures at 4-5%—coupled with decelerating GDP growth from 4.9% in 2024 to 1.0% in 2025. The central bank's projection of inflation falling to 4.5-5.5% this year supports further monetary easing to bolster a slowing economy. Hawkish surprises, such as renewed ruble depreciation, fiscal risks from budget deficits, or geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, could prompt a hold or hike, challenging this near-consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertEntscheidung der Bank of Russia im April?
Entscheidung der Bank of Russia im April?
Senkung 97.7%
Keine Änderung 2.2%
Erhöhung <1%
$158,013 Vol.
$158,013 Vol.
Senkung
98%
Keine Änderung
2%
Erhöhung
<1%
Senkung 97.7%
Keine Änderung 2.2%
Erhöhung <1%
$158,013 Vol.
$158,013 Vol.
Senkung
98%
Keine Änderung
2%
Erhöhung
<1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at 97.7% implied probability for the April 24, 2026, meeting, reflecting seven consecutive 50 basis point cuts since late 2025 that lowered the rate to 15.00% on March 20 amid moderating inflation—March 2026 CPI at 5.86% year-over-year and underlying pressures at 4-5%—coupled with decelerating GDP growth from 4.9% in 2024 to 1.0% in 2025. The central bank's projection of inflation falling to 4.5-5.5% this year supports further monetary easing to bolster a slowing economy. Hawkish surprises, such as renewed ruble depreciation, fiscal risks from budget deficits, or geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, could prompt a hold or hike, challenging this near-consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen