California's 12th congressional district, centered in San Francisco, carries a Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and has consistently delivered lopsided Democratic margins in recent cycles. In the June 2026 top-two primary, Democratic incumbent Lateefah Simon and challenger Jamie Joyce advanced to the November general election after easily defeating the lone Republican candidate. This outcome locks in a Democratic winner regardless of which primary contender prevails, aligning with unanimous race ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 98% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural barriers, including voter registration patterns and the absence of any viable Republican path. A shift would require unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or disqualification within the final months before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCA-12 Wahlsieger
CA-12 Wahlsieger
$43,952 Vol.
$43,952 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
98%
Republikanische Partei
2%
$43,952 Vol.
$43,952 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$26,700 Vol.
98%
Republikanische Partei
$17,251 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 12th congressional district, centered in San Francisco, carries a Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and has consistently delivered lopsided Democratic margins in recent cycles. In the June 2026 top-two primary, Democratic incumbent Lateefah Simon and challenger Jamie Joyce advanced to the November general election after easily defeating the lone Republican candidate. This outcome locks in a Democratic winner regardless of which primary contender prevails, aligning with unanimous race ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 98% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural barriers, including voter registration patterns and the absence of any viable Republican path. A shift would require unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or disqualification within the final months before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volumen
$43,952Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 12th congressional district, centered in San Francisco, carries a Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and has consistently delivered lopsided Democratic margins in recent cycles. In the June 2026 top-two primary, Democratic incumbent Lateefah Simon and challenger Jamie Joyce advanced to the November general election after easily defeating the lone Republican candidate. This outcome locks in a Democratic winner regardless of which primary contender prevails, aligning with unanimous race ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 98% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural barriers, including voter registration patterns and the absence of any viable Republican path. A shift would require unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or disqualification within the final months before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$43,952Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 12th congressional district, centered in San Francisco, carries a Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and has consistently delivered lopsided Democratic margins in recent cycles. In the June 2026 top-two primary, Democratic incumbent Lateefah Simon and challenger Jamie Joyce advanced to the November general election after easily defeating the lone Republican candidate. This outcome locks in a Democratic winner regardless of which primary contender prevails, aligning with unanimous race ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 98% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural barriers, including voter registration patterns and the absence of any viable Republican path. A shift would require unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or disqualification within the final months before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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