Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of power through repeated anti-corruption purges and senior military reshuffles has produced the 96.9 percent trader consensus against any widely reported coup attempt before 2027. The January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia triggered brief external speculation but yielded no evidence of organized resistance, leadership vacuum, or challenges to central authority. Loyalty mechanisms, elite turnover ahead of the 2027 Party Congress, and the absence of visible factional fractures in China’s opaque system have reinforced stability. A sudden leadership health event, acute economic dislocation fracturing senior cadres, or major external shock could still shift conditions within the resolution window ending December 31, 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$133,225 Vol.
$133,225 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$133,225 Vol.
$133,225 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of power through repeated anti-corruption purges and senior military reshuffles has produced the 96.9 percent trader consensus against any widely reported coup attempt before 2027. The January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia triggered brief external speculation but yielded no evidence of organized resistance, leadership vacuum, or challenges to central authority. Loyalty mechanisms, elite turnover ahead of the 2027 Party Congress, and the absence of visible factional fractures in China’s opaque system have reinforced stability. A sudden leadership health event, acute economic dislocation fracturing senior cadres, or major external shock could still shift conditions within the resolution window ending December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$133,225Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of power through repeated anti-corruption purges and senior military reshuffles has produced the 96.9 percent trader consensus against any widely reported coup attempt before 2027. The January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia triggered brief external speculation but yielded no evidence of organized resistance, leadership vacuum, or challenges to central authority. Loyalty mechanisms, elite turnover ahead of the 2027 Party Congress, and the absence of visible factional fractures in China’s opaque system have reinforced stability. A sudden leadership health event, acute economic dislocation fracturing senior cadres, or major external shock could still shift conditions within the resolution window ending December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$133,235Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of power through repeated anti-corruption purges and senior military reshuffles has produced the 96.9 percent trader consensus against any widely reported coup attempt before 2027. The January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia triggered brief external speculation but yielded no evidence of organized resistance, leadership vacuum, or challenges to central authority. Loyalty mechanisms, elite turnover ahead of the 2027 Party Congress, and the absence of visible factional fractures in China’s opaque system have reinforced stability. A sudden leadership health event, acute economic dislocation fracturing senior cadres, or major external shock could still shift conditions within the resolution window ending December 31, 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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