Latest ECMWF and KNMI model runs point to a modest high near 20°C in Amsterdam on July 18, driven by stable high pressure and limited warm-air advection over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads remain tight around 19–21°C, with modest disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and daytime cloud cover creating the close market pricing between those buckets. Historical July maxima average roughly 22°C, but current steering patterns favor a slightly cooler regime. Updated model cycles and any observed shifts in sea-surface temperatures or upper-level ridging over the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts that could tip probabilities toward 19°C or 21°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 18. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 18. Juli?
19°C 100.0%
16°C oder weniger <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$70,854 Vol.
$70,854 Vol.
18. Juli 2026
16°C oder weniger
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Ja
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C oder höher
Nein
19°C 100.0%
16°C oder weniger <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$70,854 Vol.
$70,854 Vol.
18. Juli 2026
16°C oder weniger
$6,917 Vol.
Nein
17°C
$9,776 Vol.
Nein
18°C
$10,250 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$17,835 Vol.
Ja
20°C
$13,128 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$7,726 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$3,073 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$849 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$702 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$298 Vol.
Nein
26°C oder höher
$300 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and KNMI model runs point to a modest high near 20°C in Amsterdam on July 18, driven by stable high pressure and limited warm-air advection over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads remain tight around 19–21°C, with modest disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and daytime cloud cover creating the close market pricing between those buckets. Historical July maxima average roughly 22°C, but current steering patterns favor a slightly cooler regime. Updated model cycles and any observed shifts in sea-surface temperatures or upper-level ridging over the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts that could tip probabilities toward 19°C or 21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volumen
$70,854Enddatum
18. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and KNMI model runs point to a modest high near 20°C in Amsterdam on July 18, driven by stable high pressure and limited warm-air advection over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads remain tight around 19–21°C, with modest disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and daytime cloud cover creating the close market pricing between those buckets. Historical July maxima average roughly 22°C, but current steering patterns favor a slightly cooler regime. Updated model cycles and any observed shifts in sea-surface temperatures or upper-level ridging over the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts that could tip probabilities toward 19°C or 21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$70,854Enddatum
18. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Latest ECMWF and KNMI model runs point to a modest high near 20°C in Amsterdam on July 18, driven by stable high pressure and limited warm-air advection over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads remain tight around 19–21°C, with modest disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and daytime cloud cover creating the close market pricing between those buckets. Historical July maxima average roughly 22°C, but current steering patterns favor a slightly cooler regime. Updated model cycles and any observed shifts in sea-surface temperatures or upper-level ridging over the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts that could tip probabilities toward 19°C or 21°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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