Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate a peak temperature near 30°C on September 1 under mostly sunny skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity around 25-35%, consistent with early autumn high-pressure conditions that favor strong daytime solar heating at the city's roughly 900 m elevation. Ensemble model consensus and official outlooks from agencies align closely with this range, showing minimal deviation from seasonal norms of 27-30°C for the period, with little evidence of an intensifying heat plume or incoming frontal system to push readings substantially higher. Trader positioning, reflected in the 64% implied probability for exactly 30°C and 27% for 31°C, captures this narrow uncertainty band around the expected maximum, as afternoon observations from standard surface stations determine resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 1. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Ankara am 1. September?
30°C 64%
31°C 29%
29°C 10%
28°C 2%
NEU
$15,443 Vol.
NEU
$15,443 Vol.
1. Sep. 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
64%
31°C
29%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 64%
31°C 29%
29°C 10%
28°C 2%
NEU
$15,443 Vol.
NEU
$15,443 Vol.
1. Sep. 2026
25°C or below
$213 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,205 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$537 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,340 Vol.
2%
29°C
$2,545 Vol.
10%
30°C
$3,303 Vol.
64%
31°C
$3,365 Vol.
29%
32°C
$1,592 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$868 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$260 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate a peak temperature near 30°C on September 1 under mostly sunny skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity around 25-35%, consistent with early autumn high-pressure conditions that favor strong daytime solar heating at the city's roughly 900 m elevation. Ensemble model consensus and official outlooks from agencies align closely with this range, showing minimal deviation from seasonal norms of 27-30°C for the period, with little evidence of an intensifying heat plume or incoming frontal system to push readings substantially higher. Trader positioning, reflected in the 64% implied probability for exactly 30°C and 27% for 31°C, captures this narrow uncertainty band around the expected maximum, as afternoon observations from standard surface stations determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$15,443Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate a peak temperature near 30°C on September 1 under mostly sunny skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity around 25-35%, consistent with early autumn high-pressure conditions that favor strong daytime solar heating at the city's roughly 900 m elevation. Ensemble model consensus and official outlooks from agencies align closely with this range, showing minimal deviation from seasonal norms of 27-30°C for the period, with little evidence of an intensifying heat plume or incoming frontal system to push readings substantially higher. Trader positioning, reflected in the 64% implied probability for exactly 30°C and 27% for 31°C, captures this narrow uncertainty band around the expected maximum, as afternoon observations from standard surface stations determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$15,443Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate a peak temperature near 30°C on September 1 under mostly sunny skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity around 25-35%, consistent with early autumn high-pressure conditions that favor strong daytime solar heating at the city's roughly 900 m elevation. Ensemble model consensus and official outlooks from agencies align closely with this range, showing minimal deviation from seasonal norms of 27-30°C for the period, with little evidence of an intensifying heat plume or incoming frontal system to push readings substantially higher. Trader positioning, reflected in the 64% implied probability for exactly 30°C and 27% for 31°C, captures this narrow uncertainty band around the expected maximum, as afternoon observations from standard surface stations determine resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen