Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, indicate mostly clear skies and light southwesterly winds over Ankara on September 13, supporting peak temperatures near 32–33°C under high pressure and low humidity typical of the region's continental climate at around 900 m elevation. These conditions promote efficient daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to suppress maxima, consistent with historical September averages of 27–30°C but elevated by current stable atmospheric patterns. The narrow spread between leading market outcomes reflects minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact peak timing, with official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations determining resolution. Traders appear to weigh the slight edge for 32°C against potential for an extra degree under optimal insolation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 13. September?
32°C 52%
33°C 45%
31°C 4%
35°C 2%
27°C oder darunter
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
52%
33°C
45%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 52%
33°C 45%
31°C 4%
35°C 2%
27°C oder darunter
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
52%
33°C
45%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, indicate mostly clear skies and light southwesterly winds over Ankara on September 13, supporting peak temperatures near 32–33°C under high pressure and low humidity typical of the region's continental climate at around 900 m elevation. These conditions promote efficient daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to suppress maxima, consistent with historical September averages of 27–30°C but elevated by current stable atmospheric patterns. The narrow spread between leading market outcomes reflects minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact peak timing, with official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations determining resolution. Traders appear to weigh the slight edge for 32°C against potential for an extra degree under optimal insolation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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