Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 7 project a sunny, hot day with highs near 100–101°F amid southerly winds and a lingering high-pressure ridge, consistent with the market’s leading 100–101°F bin at 49.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology centers on 96–99°F daily maxima, yet the current pattern—following an early-month frontal passage and renewed heat—supports modest exceedance of the long-term average without extreme amplification. Heat-index values near 104°F reflect added humidity, but no major model shifts or tropical influences are indicated. Resolution hinges on official maximum observations, with limited upside risk above 102°F under stable steering and minimal cloud cover.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 7. August?
100-101°F 50%
98-99°F 33%
102-103°F 14%
96-97°F 6%
$18,448 Vol.
$18,448 Vol.
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
33%
100-101°F
50%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 50%
98-99°F 33%
102-103°F 14%
96-97°F 6%
$18,448 Vol.
$18,448 Vol.
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
33%
100-101°F
50%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 7 project a sunny, hot day with highs near 100–101°F amid southerly winds and a lingering high-pressure ridge, consistent with the market’s leading 100–101°F bin at 49.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology centers on 96–99°F daily maxima, yet the current pattern—following an early-month frontal passage and renewed heat—supports modest exceedance of the long-term average without extreme amplification. Heat-index values near 104°F reflect added humidity, but no major model shifts or tropical influences are indicated. Resolution hinges on official maximum observations, with limited upside risk above 102°F under stable steering and minimal cloud cover.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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