Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 56-57°F (27.5% implied probability) for Denver on April 18, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for sunny conditions with highs near 59°F after snow showers on April 17 amid a sharp cooldown from recent 70s°F temperatures and April 14 snowfall. The fragmented probabilities across mid-50s ranges underscore model uncertainty, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing variability in post-frontal cold air advection, lingering low clouds, and northerly gusts up to 28 mph that could suppress peaks below climatological April norms of 61°F. Key variables include morning recovery from a Freeze Watch lows near 25°F and exact clearing timing; watch NWS updates and new 12z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution using Buckley Space Force Base observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Denver on April 18?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 18?
58-59°F 30%
56-57°F 24%
60-61°F 20%
54-55°F 18%
47°F or below
5%
48-49°F
2%
50-51°F
8%
52-53°F
15%
54-55°F
18%
56-57°F
24%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
15%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
6%
66°F or higher
3%
58-59°F 30%
56-57°F 24%
60-61°F 20%
54-55°F 18%
47°F or below
5%
48-49°F
2%
50-51°F
8%
52-53°F
15%
54-55°F
18%
56-57°F
24%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
15%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
6%
66°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 16, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 56-57°F (27.5% implied probability) for Denver on April 18, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for sunny conditions with highs near 59°F after snow showers on April 17 amid a sharp cooldown from recent 70s°F temperatures and April 14 snowfall. The fragmented probabilities across mid-50s ranges underscore model uncertainty, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing variability in post-frontal cold air advection, lingering low clouds, and northerly gusts up to 28 mph that could suppress peaks below climatological April norms of 61°F. Key variables include morning recovery from a Freeze Watch lows near 25°F and exact clearing timing; watch NWS updates and new 12z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution using Buckley Space Force Base observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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