Latest multi-model forecasts from sources like ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a Jeddah high near 36°C on April 19 under a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, driving trader-implied probabilities to peak evenly at 20% for both 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Coastal influences from the Red Sea introduce variability via sea breeze timing, potentially capping peaks below 38°C (17.5% odds) or allowing brief spikes to 39°C amid low humidity (around 40-50%) and light winds. Recent observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN) show April 14-17 highs of 32-37°C amid warming trends, with no major disruptions like dust storms. Traders eye NCM updates and hourly model runs through April 18 for resolution-defining precision on the Saffir-Simpson-irrelevant but heat-index-relevant peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Jeddah on April 19?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 19?
38°C 26%
36°C 20%
37°C 20%
34°C 19%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
11%
34°C
19%
35°C
19%
36°C
20%
37°C
20%
38°C
26%
39°C
18%
40°C or higher
17%
38°C 26%
36°C 20%
37°C 20%
34°C 19%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
11%
34°C
19%
35°C
19%
36°C
20%
37°C
20%
38°C
26%
39°C
18%
40°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest multi-model forecasts from sources like ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a Jeddah high near 36°C on April 19 under a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, driving trader-implied probabilities to peak evenly at 20% for both 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Coastal influences from the Red Sea introduce variability via sea breeze timing, potentially capping peaks below 38°C (17.5% odds) or allowing brief spikes to 39°C amid low humidity (around 40-50%) and light winds. Recent observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN) show April 14-17 highs of 32-37°C amid warming trends, with no major disruptions like dust storms. Traders eye NCM updates and hourly model runs through April 18 for resolution-defining precision on the Saffir-Simpson-irrelevant but heat-index-relevant peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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