Recent official forecasts from global and regional models indicate a high-pressure ridge over central Europe, promoting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds that favor modest daytime heating in Munich on September 3. With surface temperatures expected to peak near 24–25°C under these stable conditions—close to but slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological high of 21.8°C—trader consensus clusters around those thresholds, reflecting model agreement on limited cloud cover and minimal moisture advection. Minor spread in outcomes stems from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any thin high clouds, which could trim or add 1°C depending on the final model run. Updated guidance from agencies like the German Weather Service or ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution as the event nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 3. September?
Höchste Temperatur in München am 3. September?
25°C 35%
26°C 34%
24°C 17%
27°C 14%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
20°C or below
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
12%
24°C
17%
25°C
35%
26°C
32%
27°C
14%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
25°C 35%
26°C 34%
24°C 17%
27°C 14%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
21°C
$5 Vol.
4%
22°C
$15 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
12%
24°C
$20 Vol.
17%
25°C
$29 Vol.
35%
26°C
$16 Vol.
32%
27°C
$0 Vol.
14%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$5 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from global and regional models indicate a high-pressure ridge over central Europe, promoting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds that favor modest daytime heating in Munich on September 3. With surface temperatures expected to peak near 24–25°C under these stable conditions—close to but slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological high of 21.8°C—trader consensus clusters around those thresholds, reflecting model agreement on limited cloud cover and minimal moisture advection. Minor spread in outcomes stems from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any thin high clouds, which could trim or add 1°C depending on the final model run. Updated guidance from agencies like the German Weather Service or ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$100Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from global and regional models indicate a high-pressure ridge over central Europe, promoting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds that favor modest daytime heating in Munich on September 3. With surface temperatures expected to peak near 24–25°C under these stable conditions—close to but slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological high of 21.8°C—trader consensus clusters around those thresholds, reflecting model agreement on limited cloud cover and minimal moisture advection. Minor spread in outcomes stems from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any thin high clouds, which could trim or add 1°C depending on the final model run. Updated guidance from agencies like the German Weather Service or ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$100Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from global and regional models indicate a high-pressure ridge over central Europe, promoting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds that favor modest daytime heating in Munich on September 3. With surface temperatures expected to peak near 24–25°C under these stable conditions—close to but slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological high of 21.8°C—trader consensus clusters around those thresholds, reflecting model agreement on limited cloud cover and minimal moisture advection. Minor spread in outcomes stems from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any thin high clouds, which could trim or add 1°C depending on the final model run. Updated guidance from agencies like the German Weather Service or ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution as the event nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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