Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, GFS, and European centers indicate London highs on September 25 will likely reach 23–27 °C, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern with southerly or light variable winds promoting daytime warming under partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation. Recent observations show persistent above-average temperatures for late September, with afternoon peaks near 24–26 °C amid low humidity and clear spells. Key variables differentiating outcomes include cloud-cover timing, which can suppress maxima by 2–3 °C, and any late wind shift to northwesterly flow that enhances mixing. Ensemble spreads and historical September variability support the market’s tight clustering around 24–28 °C, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside this range. Updated model runs and official Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 25. September?
25°C 37%
24°C 32%
26°C 27%
27°C 25%
22°C oder weniger
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
32%
25°C
37%
26°C
27%
27°C
25%
28°C
20%
29°C
6%
30°C
15%
31°C
6%
32°C oder höher
3%
25°C 37%
24°C 32%
26°C 27%
27°C 25%
22°C oder weniger
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
32%
25°C
37%
26°C
27%
27°C
25%
28°C
20%
29°C
6%
30°C
15%
31°C
6%
32°C oder höher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, GFS, and European centers indicate London highs on September 25 will likely reach 23–27 °C, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern with southerly or light variable winds promoting daytime warming under partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation. Recent observations show persistent above-average temperatures for late September, with afternoon peaks near 24–26 °C amid low humidity and clear spells. Key variables differentiating outcomes include cloud-cover timing, which can suppress maxima by 2–3 °C, and any late wind shift to northwesterly flow that enhances mixing. Ensemble spreads and historical September variability support the market’s tight clustering around 24–28 °C, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside this range. Updated model runs and official Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen